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O Fed foi abolido antes de 2027?

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O Fed foi abolido antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

4% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO
4% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 97% implied probability against the Federal Reserve being abolished before 2027, reflecting the central bank's entrenched role in U.S. monetary policy and the absence of legislative traction for abolition proposals. Symbolic bills like the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act (S.869 and H.R.1846), introduced in early 2025 by Sens. Mike Lee and Rep. Thomas Massie, have stalled without hearings, votes, or bipartisan support, consistent with historical base rates where such measures repeatedly fail. Broad institutional reliance on Fed functions—price stability, lender of last resort—bolsters this skin-in-the-game view amid stable economic data like February 2026 CPI at 2.4%. Tail risks include a severe crisis eroding confidence or 2026 midterm sweeps enabling radical reform, though these remain remote without evident catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$3,690
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 97% implied probability against the Federal Reserve being abolished before 2027, reflecting the central bank's entrenched role in U.S. monetary policy and the absence of legislative traction for abolition proposals. Symbolic bills like the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act (S.869 and H.R.1846), introduced in early 2025 by Sens. Mike Lee and Rep. Thomas Massie, have stalled without hearings, votes, or bipartisan support, consistent with historical base rates where such measures repeatedly fail. Broad institutional reliance on Fed functions—price stability, lender of last resort—bolsters this skin-in-the-game view amid stable economic data like February 2026 CPI at 2.4%. Tail risks include a severe crisis eroding confidence or 2026 midterm sweeps enabling radical reform, though these remain remote without evident catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$3,690
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Federal Reserve is formally abolished by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O Fed foi abolido antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 4% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 4¢, the market collectively assigns a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"O Fed foi abolido antes de 2027?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 5, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "O Fed foi abolido antes de 2027?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "O Fed foi abolido antes de 2027?" is 4% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "O Fed foi abolido antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.