The 97.2% implied probability that the Federal Reserve will not be abolished before 2027 reflects the absence of viable legislative momentum behind the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act, introduced in March 2025 and stalled in committee with no subsequent proposals advancing. Trader consensus prices in the institution’s statutory foundation under the 1913 Federal Reserve Act, its central role in conducting monetary policy through the federal funds rate and FOMC decisions, and the multi-step bicameral requirements for repeal. Recent FOMC communications and ongoing supervisory activities, including 2026 stress-test scenarios, further signal operational continuity rather than structural change. Tail-risk scenarios such as an acute financial crisis or unprecedented political realignment capable of overriding decades of precedent remain low-probability events given historical precedent and institutional inertia.