President Trump's March 5 dismissal of Kristi Noem as DHS Secretary has solidified trader consensus against her impeachment in 2026, with "No" shares reflecting a 94.7% implied probability amid her removal from office preempting any congressional action. Earlier in January, House Democrats introduced H.Res.996 accusing Noem of high crimes including blocking oversight and mishandling fatal ICE shootings in Minnesota, gaining over two-thirds caucus support but stalling without a floor vote in the Republican-controlled House. Post-firing controversies like ad campaign optics and personal allegations failed to revive proceedings, as impeachment targets typically require a sitting official; no Senate trial or state-level efforts have materialized since.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoKristi Noem sofreu impeachment em 2026?
Kristi Noem sofreu impeachment em 2026?
Sim
$16,763 Vol.
$16,763 Vol.
Sim
$16,763 Vol.
$16,763 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's March 5 dismissal of Kristi Noem as DHS Secretary has solidified trader consensus against her impeachment in 2026, with "No" shares reflecting a 94.7% implied probability amid her removal from office preempting any congressional action. Earlier in January, House Democrats introduced H.Res.996 accusing Noem of high crimes including blocking oversight and mishandling fatal ICE shootings in Minnesota, gaining over two-thirds caucus support but stalling without a floor vote in the Republican-controlled House. Post-firing controversies like ad campaign optics and personal allegations failed to revive proceedings, as impeachment targets typically require a sitting official; no Senate trial or state-level efforts have materialized since.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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