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Reino Unido previsões e probabilidades

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O próximo primeiro-ministro do Reino Unido em 2026?

O próximo primeiro-ministro do Reino Unido em 2026?

79%

Andy Burnham

$10M Vol.

$268K today

$1M Liq.

106

Ends em 7 meses

A França, o Reino Unido ou a Alemanha atacarão o Irã até 30 de junho?

A França, o Reino Unido ou a Alemanha atacarão o Irã até 30 de junho?

1%

$3M Vol.

$99.3K Liq.

Ends em 11 dias

Eleições no Reino Unido convocadas por...?

Eleições no Reino Unido convocadas por...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$787K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

15

Ends há 6 meses

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

9%

$3.8K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

5

Ends em 7 meses

UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

54%

June 30, 2027

$91 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 ano

Crescimento anual do PIB do Reino Unido em 2026

Crescimento anual do PIB do Reino Unido em 2026

47%

0-1%

$2.1K Vol.

$561 Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Kanye West visitará o Reino Unido até 30 de junho?

Kanye West visitará o Reino Unido até 30 de junho?

<1%

$4.8K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends em 11 dias

O Reino Unido designará o IRGC como uma organização terrorista até 30 de junho?

O Reino Unido designará o IRGC como uma organização terrorista até 30 de junho?

2%

$97.8K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

4

Ends em 11 dias

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

95%

0,0–0,1%

$55 Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

33%

$5.3K Vol.

$842 Liq.

3

Ends em 10 meses

June Inflation UK - Annual

June Inflation UK - Annual

49%

≤2.1%

$0 Vol.

$289 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Vencedor por eleição do Makerfield

Vencedor por eleição do Makerfield

92%

Andy Burnham

$8M Vol.

$964K today

$2M Liq.

133

Ends há cerca de 12 horas

Starmer para fora por...?

Starmer para fora por...?

87%

31 de dezembro

$32M Vol.

$166K today

$317K Liq.

1,769

Ends há 6 meses

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

89%

Robert Kenyon

$323K Vol.

$116K today

$170K Liq.

1

Ends há cerca de 12 horas

Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em junho?

Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em junho?

100%

Nenhuma mudança

$306K Vol.

$238K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 12 horas

Eleição parcial de Makerfield: Restaurar a Grã-Bretanha recebe 10%+?

Eleição parcial de Makerfield: Restaurar a Grã-Bretanha recebe 10%+?

33%

$144K Vol.

$60.4K today

$26.5K Liq.

12

Ends em cerca de 5 horas

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

51%

Burnham 9%+

$45.3K Vol.

$45.1K Liq.

Vencedor do Aberdeen South By-Election de 2026

Vencedor do Aberdeen South By-Election de 2026

79%

Richard Gordon Thomson

$19.2K Vol.

$46.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 16 horas

2026 Arbroath e Broughty Ferry Vencedor por Eleição

2026 Arbroath e Broughty Ferry Vencedor por Eleição

95%

Lara Bird

$8.9K Vol.

$26.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 16 horas

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

86%

Andy Burnham

$24.8K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

5

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Reino Unido.

Polymarket currently hosts 39 active markets for Reino Unido that lets you track or trade on predictions like “O próximo primeiro-ministro do Reino Unido em 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $55.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Eleição parcial de Makerfield: Restaurar a Grã-Bretanha recebe 10%+?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer para fora por...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer para fora por...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 87% chance to 31 de dezembro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Reino Unido predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.