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Reino Unido previsões e probabilidades

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Starmer para fora por...?

Starmer para fora por...?

79%

31 de dezembro

$19M Vol.

$806K today

$125K Liq.

872

Ends há 4 meses

O próximo primeiro-ministro do Reino Unido em 2026?

O próximo primeiro-ministro do Reino Unido em 2026?

25%

Andy Burnham

$5M Vol.

$127K today

$462K Liq.

70

Ends em 8 meses

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place

<1%

Reform

$216K Vol.

$2M Liq.

43

Ends há 5 dias

Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em junho?

Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em junho?

87%

Nenhuma mudança

$97.7K Vol.

$27.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

90%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

$23.0K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

10

Ends em 1 dia

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

100%

500+

$109K Vol.

$29.2K Liq.

11

Ends há 5 dias

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

100%

300+

$25.8K Vol.

$58.6K Liq.

Ends há 5 dias

2026 Eleições Locais do Reino Unido: Reforma ganha ___ assentos?

2026 Eleições Locais do Reino Unido: Reforma ganha ___ assentos?

1%

1600+

$121K Vol.

$65.5K Liq.

7

Ends há 5 dias

Andy Burnham como Presidente da Câmara da Grande Manchester até 31 de maio?

Andy Burnham como Presidente da Câmara da Grande Manchester até 31 de maio?

21%

Sim

$11.6K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Eleições locais no Reino Unido em 2026: o Partido Trabalhista ganha ___ assentos?

Eleições locais no Reino Unido em 2026: o Partido Trabalhista ganha ___ assentos?

100%

300+

$100K Vol.

$42.1K Liq.

1

Ends há 5 dias

2026 Eleições Locais no Reino Unido: Liberais Democratas ganham ___ assentos?

2026 Eleições Locais no Reino Unido: Liberais Democratas ganham ___ assentos?

100%

600+

$51.4K Vol.

$38.8K Liq.

Ends há 5 dias

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

22%

$4.1K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Next First Minister of Wales?

Next First Minister of Wales?

98%

Rhun ap Iorwerth

$19.1K Vol.

$33.4K Liq.

Ends há 5 dias

Crescimento do PIB do Reino Unido no primeiro trimestre de 2026?

Crescimento do PIB do Reino Unido no primeiro trimestre de 2026?

49%

0,6-0,9%

$30.7K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Príncipe Andrew condenado à prisão?

Príncipe Andrew condenado à prisão?

7%

Sim

$209K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

35

Ends em 8 meses

Eleições no Reino Unido convocadas por...?

Eleições no Reino Unido convocadas por...?

2%

30 de junho de 2026

$751K Vol.

$650 Liq.

14

Ends há 4 meses

Eleição da liderança trabalhista marcada para...?

Eleição da liderança trabalhista marcada para...?

70%

30 de junho

$64.0K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

3

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Ministro do Gabinete do Reino Unido renuncia por...?

Ministro do Gabinete do Reino Unido renuncia por...?

74%

30 de junho

$111K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

54

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Precipitation in London in May?

Precipitation in London in May?

13%

20-25mm

$1.7K Vol.

$627 Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

Bank of England decision in July?

Bank of England decision in July?

66%

No change

$358 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Reino Unido.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Reino Unido that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Starmer para fora por...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $26.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Andy Burnham como Presidente da Câmara da Grande Manchester até 31 de maio?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer para fora por...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer para fora por...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 79% chance to 31 de dezembro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Reino Unido predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.