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Reino Unido previsões e probabilidades

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O próximo primeiro-ministro do Reino Unido em 2026?

O próximo primeiro-ministro do Reino Unido em 2026?

48%

Andy Burnham

$8M Vol.

$270K today

$1M Liq.

99

Ends em 7 meses

Starmer para fora por...?

Starmer para fora por...?

72%

31 de dezembro

$30M Vol.

$116K today

$221K Liq.

1,719

Ends há 5 meses

Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

74%

Andy Burnham

$1M Vol.

$70.1K today

$562K Liq.

32

Ends em 22 dias

Andy Burnham como Presidente da Câmara da Grande Manchester até 31 de maio?

Andy Burnham como Presidente da Câmara da Grande Manchester até 31 de maio?

1%

Sim

$130K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

24

Ends em 4 dias

Andy Burnham torna-se deputado até 30 de junho?

Andy Burnham torna-se deputado até 30 de junho?

68%

Sim

$49.4K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em junho?
Reino Unido·Inglaterra

Decisão do Banco da Inglaterra em junho?

97%

Nenhuma mudança

$245K Vol.

$45.1K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?

How long will it take Ant Middleton to summit Everest?

81%

> 6 days

$5.4K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

9

Ends em 3 dias

Precipitation in London in May?

Precipitation in London in May?

21%

10-15mm

$9.7K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

11%

$35.6K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

75%

Robert Kenyon

$1.3K Vol.

$36.7K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

Eleições no Reino Unido convocadas por...?
Reino Unido·Inglaterra

Eleições no Reino Unido convocadas por...?

51%

December 31, 2026

$770K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

14

Ends há 5 meses

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

71%

Andy Burnham

$20.3K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

5

Ends em 7 meses

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

22%

Burnham 3-6%

$13.0K Vol.

$40.5K Liq.

Bank of England decision in July?
Reino Unido·Inglaterra

Bank of England decision in July?

89%

No change

$558 Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Next First Minister of Scotland?

Next First Minister of Scotland?

99%

John Swinney

$15.0K Vol.

$40.2K Liq.

4

Ends há 20 dias

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

27%

0.2–0.3%

$8 Vol.

$191 Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

UK Government approval Up or Down this week?

50%

Up

$263 Vol.

$11 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Eleição da liderança trabalhista marcada para...?

Eleição da liderança trabalhista marcada para...?

67%

30 de junho

$74.1K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

5

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Inflação Anual do Reino Unido 2026

Inflação Anual do Reino Unido 2026

27%

4,0-4,4%

$4.4K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

O par GBP/USD atingirá __ em 2026?

O par GBP/USD atingirá __ em 2026?

39%

↓1,25

$58.0K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Reino Unido.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Reino Unido that lets you track or trade on predictions like “O próximo primeiro-ministro do Reino Unido em 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $40.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Andy Burnham torna-se deputado até 30 de junho?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer para fora por...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer para fora por...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 72% chance to 31 de dezembro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Reino Unido predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.