Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Nigel Farage sai como líder da Reform UK por...?

Nigel Farage sai como líder da Reform UK por...?

icon for Nigel Farage sai como líder da Reform UK por...?

Nigel Farage sai como líder da Reform UK por...?

$273,323 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$273,323 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 31 de dezembro de 2026

31 de dezembro de 2026

$271,188 Vol.

16%

icon for 31 de março de 2027

31 de março de 2027

$2,135 Vol.

29%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing scrutiny of Reform UK's funding practices, including a parliamentary standards probe into Nigel Farage's acceptance of a multimillion-pound gift and September 2026 undercover allegations involving foreign polling support, has fueled questions about his leadership stability. Two senior aides stepped down pending an internal review after the claims, though the party denies wrongdoing and attributes the episode to a hoax. Farage won a July-triggered by-election in Clacton following his MP resignation and maintains firm control, with no active internal challengers reported. Recent conference pledges on immigration and taxes underscore efforts to project governing readiness ahead of a potential early general election. Trader views hinge on whether further regulatory or legal developments erode his position before any resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$273,323
Data de Término
1 abr 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 24, 2026, 5:42 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing scrutiny of Reform UK's funding practices, including a parliamentary standards probe into Nigel Farage's acceptance of a multimillion-pound gift and September 2026 undercover allegations involving foreign polling support, has fueled questions about his leadership stability. Two senior aides stepped down pending an internal review after the claims, though the party denies wrongdoing and attributes the episode to a hoax. Farage won a July-triggered by-election in Clacton following his MP resignation and maintains firm control, with no active internal challengers reported. Recent conference pledges on immigration and taxes underscore efforts to project governing readiness ahead of a potential early general election. Trader views hinge on whether further regulatory or legal developments erode his position before any resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$273,323
Data de Término
1 abr 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 24, 2026, 5:42 AM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nigel Farage sai como líder da Reform UK por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de março de 2027" at 28%, followed by "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nigel Farage sai como líder da Reform UK por...?" has generated $273.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nigel Farage sai como líder da Reform UK por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nigel Farage sai como líder da Reform UK por...?" is "31 de março de 2027" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nigel Farage sai como líder da Reform UK por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.