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Conta previsões e probabilidades

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Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

81%

May 31

$13.6K Vol.

$48.5K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

1%

$102K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

13

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

14%

$604 Vol.

$167 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Bill Gates charged by June 30?

Bill Gates charged by June 30?

1%

$10.6K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

5%

$3.3K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

24%

$98.0K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks?

Who will buy the Seattle Seahawks?

37%

Jeff Bezos

$67.5K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

1

Ends em 4 meses

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

48%

John Kerry

$64.3K Vol.

$80.3K Liq.

3

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner

59%

Julia Letlow

$258K Vol.

$152K Liq.

4

Ends em 7 dias

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Who visited Epstein's Island?

6%

Steve Bannon

$2M Vol.

$266K Liq.

126

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Who will testify to congress about Epstein?

Who will testify to congress about Epstein?

23%

Lord Peter Mandelson

$60.9K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

11

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Tennessee Democratic Senate Primary Winner

72%

Marquita Bradshaw

$9.4K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

2

Ends em 3 meses

Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Minnesota Governor Democratic Primary Winner

95%

Amy Klobuchar

$21.9K Vol.

$37.4K Liq.

3

Ends em 3 meses

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 16

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 16

99%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$10.8K Vol.

$58.6K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 16

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 16

99%

The Great Divide - Noah Kahan

$13.2K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by May 31?

Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by May 31?

100%

121.5 billion

$5.3K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

98%

$8.1K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

44%

$3M Vol.

$67.5K Liq.

17

Ends em 6 meses

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

93%

$128K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

90%

Drake

$139K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Conta.

Polymarket currently hosts 183 active markets for Conta that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who visited Epstein's Island?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 56% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Conta predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.