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NomeaçãO previsões e probabilidades

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Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

<1%

$236K Vol.

$48.4K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 dias

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

-

$0 Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$3M today

$58M Liq.

725

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

38%

J.D. Vance

$608M Vol.

$3M today

$26M Liq.

385

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

19%

Kim Kardashian

$12.5K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

53%

The Odyssey

$17.0K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

6

Ends em 10 meses

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

23%

Marco Rubio

$6.7K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends em mais de 2 anos

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

23%

54

$65.6K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

99%

Thom Tillis

$98.1K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

33%

$892 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

2

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

14%

$1.3K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

1

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

57%

Keith Sonderling

$41.0K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

51%

No Announcement by June 30

$641K Vol.

$89.3K Liq.

19

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Texas Senate Election Matchup

Texas Senate Election Matchup

61%

Talarico & Paxton

$711K Vol.

$51.7K Liq.

2

Ends há 2 meses

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

69%

0

$4.6K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

38%

1

$4.6K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

MT-01 Republican Primary Winner

MT-01 Republican Primary Winner

89%

Aaron Flint

$896 Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

MN-02 Republican Primary Winner

MN-02 Republican Primary Winner

92%

Eric Pratt

$19.5K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

MT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

64%

Ryan Busse

$2.6K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 24 dias

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

32%

1.2–1.5M

$87.8K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

Ends em 17 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like NomeaçãO.

Polymarket currently hosts 138 active markets for NomeaçãO that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.7B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on NomeaçãO predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.