Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic VP nominee remains highly fragmented, with Gavin Newsom edging ahead at 14% implied probability amid a wide-open field lacking a dominant presidential frontrunner. Newsom's lead stems from his California governorship, national media profile from policy clashes, and recent YouGov polling (April 8-13) ranking him second at 12% as Democrats' ideal presidential pick, positioning him for ticket balance. Pete Buttigieg and Gretchen Whitmer tie at 10.5%, buoyed by Buttigieg's Transportation Secretary role and youth appeal alongside Whitmer's Midwest battleground credentials and gender balance potential. Celebrities like Oprah Winfrey and Chelsea Clinton draw speculative bets on star power. Key differentiators include regional strength (e.g., Whitmer in swing states), demographics, and executive experience; consolidation could follow 2026 midterm results elevating governors or senators, early presidential endorsements, or primary polling shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNomeado VP Democrático 2028
Nomeado VP Democrático 2028
Gavin Newsom 15%
Gretchen Whitmer 13%
Pete Buttigieg 11%
Chelsea Clinton 11%
Gavin Newsom
15%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
Pete Buttigieg
11%
Josh Shapiro
6%
Wes Moore
9%
Stephen A. Smith
4%
Kamala Harris
5%
Gretchen Whitmer
13%
Andy Beshear
10%
Jon Ossoff
10%
Mark Cuban
7%
J.B. Pritzker
7%
Raphael Warnock
9%
Cory Booker
6%
Tim Walz
6%
Michelle Obama
6%
Mark Kelly
7%
Rahm Emanuel
6%
Gina Raimondo
6%
Zohran Mamdani
5%
Roy Cooper
7%
John Fetterman
5%
Jared Polis
7%
Jon Stewart
6%
Barack Obama
6%
Hillary Clinton
6%
Liz Cheney
7%
Bernie Sanders
6%
Phil Murphy
8%
LeBron James
5%
Hunter Biden
6%
George Clooney
10%
Chelsea Clinton
11%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
8%
Oprah Winfrey
11%
Andrew Yang
7%
Beto O’Rourke
7%
Kim Kardashian
5%
Chris Murphy
6%
Ruben Gallego
9%
Ro Khanna
7%
James Talarico
10%
Elissa Slotkin
6%
Gavin Newsom 15%
Gretchen Whitmer 13%
Pete Buttigieg 11%
Chelsea Clinton 11%
Gavin Newsom
15%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%
Pete Buttigieg
11%
Josh Shapiro
6%
Wes Moore
9%
Stephen A. Smith
4%
Kamala Harris
5%
Gretchen Whitmer
13%
Andy Beshear
10%
Jon Ossoff
10%
Mark Cuban
7%
J.B. Pritzker
7%
Raphael Warnock
9%
Cory Booker
6%
Tim Walz
6%
Michelle Obama
6%
Mark Kelly
7%
Rahm Emanuel
6%
Gina Raimondo
6%
Zohran Mamdani
5%
Roy Cooper
7%
John Fetterman
5%
Jared Polis
7%
Jon Stewart
6%
Barack Obama
6%
Hillary Clinton
6%
Liz Cheney
7%
Bernie Sanders
6%
Phil Murphy
8%
LeBron James
5%
Hunter Biden
6%
George Clooney
10%
Chelsea Clinton
11%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
8%
Oprah Winfrey
11%
Andrew Yang
7%
Beto O’Rourke
7%
Kim Kardashian
5%
Chris Murphy
6%
Ruben Gallego
9%
Ro Khanna
7%
James Talarico
10%
Elissa Slotkin
6%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic VP nominee remains highly fragmented, with Gavin Newsom edging ahead at 14% implied probability amid a wide-open field lacking a dominant presidential frontrunner. Newsom's lead stems from his California governorship, national media profile from policy clashes, and recent YouGov polling (April 8-13) ranking him second at 12% as Democrats' ideal presidential pick, positioning him for ticket balance. Pete Buttigieg and Gretchen Whitmer tie at 10.5%, buoyed by Buttigieg's Transportation Secretary role and youth appeal alongside Whitmer's Midwest battleground credentials and gender balance potential. Celebrities like Oprah Winfrey and Chelsea Clinton draw speculative bets on star power. Key differentiators include regional strength (e.g., Whitmer in swing states), demographics, and executive experience; consolidation could follow 2026 midterm results elevating governors or senators, early presidential endorsements, or primary polling shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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