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Vance previsões e probabilidades

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JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

50%

June 30

$52.8K Vol.

$52.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

17%

$55.3K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

61%

Jared Kushner

$1M Vol.

$120K Liq.

69

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

50%

Jared Kushner

$52.6K Vol.

$109K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

69%

June 30

$33M Vol.

$1M today

$193K Liq.

5

Ends há 7 dias

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

61%

Pakistan

$4M Vol.

$482K today

$378K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Des Moines?

Manufacturing

+ 21 more

$37.2K Vol.

5

Ends há 1 dia

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

18%

May 31

$132K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

10

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$604M Vol.

$2M today

$25M Liq.

381

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%

JD Vance

$570M Vol.

$943K today

$29M Liq.

887

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Marco Rubio

$32.0K Vol.

Ends em 24 dias

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

87%

Tucker Carlson

$79.1K Vol.

$33.1K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

5%

Any U.S. House member

$380K Vol.

$128K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

58%

Street

$6.2K Vol.

$752 Liq.

7

Ends em 3 dias

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

28%

Rahm Emanuel

$633K Vol.

$821K Liq.

15

Ends em 8 meses

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

35%

Tulsi Gabbard

$10.5K Vol.

$36.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

24%

Marco Rubio

$6.3K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends em mais de 2 anos

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

94%

Hakeem Jeffries

$6.1K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

59%

Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire

$3.8K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Brazilian President?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Brazilian President?

81%

China

$727 Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 8 horas

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Vance.

Polymarket currently hosts 128 active markets for Vance that lets you track or trade on predictions like “JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.2B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 39% chance to J.D. Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Vance predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.