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Política·Celebridades

Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

icon for Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?
Política·Celebridades

Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

$712,890 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$712,890 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$6,295 Vol.

27%

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Kamala Harris

$26,798 Vol.

21%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,048 Vol.

18%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

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17%

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Tucker Carlson

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17%

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Mark Kelly

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17%

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Candace Owens

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16%

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Gavin Newsom

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15%

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Beto O’Rourke

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15%

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J.D. Vance

$20,777 Vol.

15%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

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15%

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J.B. Pritzker

$2,400 Vol.

15%

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Josh Hawley

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14%

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Andy Beshear

$4,721 Vol.

14%

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Ted Cruz

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13%

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Marco Rubio

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13%

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Mark Cuban

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13%

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Steve Bannon

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Andrew Yang

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Raphael Warnock

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Liz Cheney

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12%

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Greg Abbott

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11%

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Matt Gaetz

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11%

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Josh Shapiro

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11%

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Hunter Biden

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11%

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John Fetterman

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11%

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Stephen A. Smith

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10%

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Brian Kemp

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10%

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Jon Ossoff

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10%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

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10%

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Oprah Winfrey

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10%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

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9%

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Rand Paul

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Tom Brady

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Tim Walz

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George Clooney

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9%

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Byron Donalds

$6,534 Vol.

9%

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Phil Murphy

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Glenn Youngkin

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8%

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Roy Cooper

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8%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

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8%

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8%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

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7%

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Erika Kirk

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Donald Trump Jr.

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Gretchen Whitmer

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$12,674 Vol.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, the 2028 presidential cycle remains in its exploratory phase, with no major party figures having launched formal campaigns. Potential contenders including Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, California Governor Gavin Newsom, and former Vice President Kamala Harris are engaging in early positioning through media appearances, travel to primary states, and policy commentary, yet have stopped short of announcements. Speculation centers on post-midterm timing, with analysts expecting initial declarations to accelerate after November 2026. A small number of lesser-known candidates have filed with the FEC or formed exploratory committees, but historical patterns show frontrunners typically wait until early 2027 to enter the field, keeping the window for pre-2027 announcements narrow.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$712,890
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of mid-2026, the 2028 presidential cycle remains in its exploratory phase, with no major party figures having launched formal campaigns. Potential contenders including Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, California Governor Gavin Newsom, and former Vice President Kamala Harris are engaging in early positioning through media appearances, travel to primary states, and policy commentary, yet have stopped short of announcements. Speculation centers on post-midterm timing, with analysts expecting initial declarations to accelerate after November 2026. A small number of lesser-known candidates have filed with the FEC or formed exploratory committees, but historical patterns show frontrunners typically wait until early 2027 to enter the field, keeping the window for pre-2027 announcements narrow.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$712,890
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rahm Emanuel" at 27%, followed by "Kamala Harris" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" has generated $712.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" is "Rahm Emanuel" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kamala Harris" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.