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Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

Market icon

Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

$416,538 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$416,538 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Don Lemon

$6 Vol.

95%

Market icon

Mark Kelly

$4,892 Vol.

21%

Market icon

J.D. Vance

$13,903 Vol.

16%

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Pete Buttigieg

$4,760 Vol.

16%

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Brian Kemp

$1,025 Vol.

16%

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Steve Bannon

$8,783 Vol.

16%

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Josh Hawley

$3,257 Vol.

15%

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John Fetterman

$4,059 Vol.

15%

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Rand Paul

$0 Vol.

15%

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Tucker Carlson

$0 Vol.

14%

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J.B. Pritzker

$2,171 Vol.

16%

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Candace Owens

$0 Vol.

14%

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Nikki Haley

$1,634 Vol.

14%

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Andy Beshear

$4,402 Vol.

13%

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Jared Polis

$0 Vol.

13%

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Katie Britt

$0 Vol.

13%

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Andrew Yang

$7,688 Vol.

13%

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Elise Stefanik

$1,747 Vol.

13%

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Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

12%

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Rahm Emanuel

$5,826 Vol.

12%

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Wes Moore

$5,199 Vol.

12%

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Ted Cruz

$10,430 Vol.

12%

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Gavin Newsom

$43,885 Vol.

12%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$3,634 Vol.

12%

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Kamala Harris

$12,762 Vol.

12%

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Cory Booker

$10,275 Vol.

11%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$27,765 Vol.

11%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$13,623 Vol.

11%

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John Thune

$2,226 Vol.

11%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$6,126 Vol.

11%

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Glenn Youngkin

$0 Vol.

11%

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Stephen A. Smith

$14,194 Vol.

11%

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Jon Ossoff

$1,277 Vol.

11%

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Ron DeSantis

$956 Vol.

11%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$3,701 Vol.

11%

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Gina Raimondo

$0 Vol.

10%

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Marco Rubio

$3,785 Vol.

10%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$5,869 Vol.

10%

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Mike Pence

$11,165 Vol.

10%

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Beto O’Rourke

$5,626 Vol.

10%

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Mark Cuban

$1,146 Vol.

10%

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Byron Donalds

$5,406 Vol.

10%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$0 Vol.

9%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$0 Vol.

9%

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Greg Abbott

$1,726 Vol.

9%

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George Clooney

$0 Vol.

9%

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Donald Trump

$7,645 Vol.

8%

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Liz Cheney

$79 Vol.

8%

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Kim Kardashian

$0 Vol.

8%

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Jon Stewart

$0 Vol.

8%

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Oprah Winfrey

$0 Vol.

8%

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Chelsea Clinton

$4,416 Vol.

8%

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Tom Brady

$8,073 Vol.

8%

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Tim Walz

$3,623 Vol.

8%

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Roy Cooper

$3,405 Vol.

7%

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Bernie Sanders

$2,218 Vol.

7%

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Hillary Clinton

$7,241 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Raphael Warnock

$1,702 Vol.

7%

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Josh Shapiro

$4,957 Vol.

7%

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Matt Gaetz

$2,272 Vol.

6%

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Phil Murphy

$0 Vol.

12%

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Elon Musk

$7,236 Vol.

6%

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Erika Kirk

$7,051 Vol.

5%

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Ivanka Trump

$12,840 Vol.

5%

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Hunter Biden

$22,554 Vol.

5%

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Barack Obama

$0 Vol.

4%

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Michelle Obama

$10,607 Vol.

4%

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Zohran Mamdani

$21,441 Vol.

3%

Market icon

MrBeast

$20,143 Vol.

3%

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LeBron James

$14,105 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$0 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No prominent politicians have formally announced 2028 presidential campaigns as of early April 2026, with FEC filings limited to fringe candidates lacking national profiles. Vice President JD Vance leads early Republican positioning after winning 53% in the March 28 CPAC straw poll, ahead of Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 35%, bolstered by Vance's recent book release amid New Hampshire polling favoring the duo. Democrats face an open primary post-2024, with governors like Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Josh Shapiro, plus senators such as Mark Kelly, frequently speculated. November 2026 midterms loom as a critical proving ground for incumbents and challengers, potentially elevating frontrunners before formal exploratory committees or announcements emerge.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$416,538
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No prominent politicians have formally announced 2028 presidential campaigns as of early April 2026, with FEC filings limited to fringe candidates lacking national profiles. Vice President JD Vance leads early Republican positioning after winning 53% in the March 28 CPAC straw poll, ahead of Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 35%, bolstered by Vance's recent book release amid New Hampshire polling favoring the duo. Democrats face an open primary post-2024, with governors like Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Josh Shapiro, plus senators such as Mark Kelly, frequently speculated. November 2026 midterms loom as a critical proving ground for incumbents and challengers, potentially elevating frontrunners before formal exploratory committees or announcements emerge.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$416,538
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gretchen Whitmer" at 51%, followed by "Don Lemon" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" has generated $416.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" is "Gretchen Whitmer" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Don Lemon" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.