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Presidencial previsões e probabilidades

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Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

18%

JD Vance

$609M Vol.

$2M today

$33M Liq.

947

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$2M today

$62M Liq.

744

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

41%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$91M Vol.

$677K today

$8M Liq.

7,937

Ends em 4 meses

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Jordan Bardella

$85M Vol.

$473K today

$7M Liq.

525

Ends em 11 meses

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

64%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$33M Vol.

$425K today

$3M Liq.

614

Ends em 22 dias

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

31%

J.D. Vance

$646M Vol.

$282K today

$43M Liq.

414

Ends em mais de 2 anos

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

79%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$8M Vol.

$152K today

$2M Liq.

113

Ends em cerca de 16 horas

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

79%

Keiko Fujimori

$57M Vol.

$63.0K today

$4M Liq.

5,076

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

13%

$304K Vol.

$33.0K Liq.

6

Ends em cerca de 14 horas

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

16%

$82.1K Vol.

$32.1K Liq.

10

Ends em 7 meses

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

78%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$203K Vol.

$396K Liq.

4

Ends em 7 minutos

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

2%

$706K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

3

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

48%

Javier Milei

$100.0K Vol.

$154K Liq.

17

Ends em mais de 1 ano

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

93%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$78.7K Vol.

$355K Liq.

21

Ends em 11 meses

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Bulgaria Presidential Election

43%

Iliana Iotova

$125K Vol.

$136K Liq.

19

Ends em 6 meses

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 3rd place

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 3rd place

93%

Paloma Valencia

$7.8K Vol.

$288K Liq.

Ends em 7 minutos

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

24%

Fernando Dias da Costa

$318K Vol.

$65.0K Liq.

13

Ends há 6 meses

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

42%

Renan Santos

$311K Vol.

$252K Liq.

45

Ends em 4 meses

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

22%

Kamala Harris

$681K Vol.

$766K Liq.

17

Ends em 7 meses

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

62%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$4M Vol.

$431K Liq.

40

Ends em 4 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Presidencial.

Polymarket currently hosts 178 active markets for Presidencial that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Presidential Election Winner 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.7B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Presidencial predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.