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Presidencial previsões e probabilidades

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Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%

JD Vance

$571M Vol.

$1M today

$28M Liq.

890

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$305K Liq.

72

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$80.2K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

11

Ends em 8 meses

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$2M today

$53M Liq.

719

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$604M Vol.

$2M today

$25M Liq.

381

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Jordan Bardella

$62M Vol.

$979K today

$5M Liq.

464

Ends em 12 meses

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

45%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$66M Vol.

$638K today

$5M Liq.

6,041

Ends em 5 meses

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

39%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$28M Vol.

$115K today

$2M Liq.

409

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

61%

Keiko Fujimori

$49M Vol.

$354K today

$5M Liq.

4,574

Ends há 25 dias

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

92%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$6M Vol.

$208K today

$1M Liq.

25

Ends em 25 dias

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

98%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$6M Vol.

$534K Liq.

364

Ends há 25 dias

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

66%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$3M Vol.

$271K Liq.

33

Ends em 5 meses

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

52%

Javier Milei

$43.0K Vol.

$127K Liq.

15

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

64%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$59.3K Vol.

$150K Liq.

2

Ends em 24 dias

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

94%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$29.7K Vol.

$493K Liq.

15

Ends em 11 meses

Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner

Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner

100%

Keiko Fujimori

$2M Vol.

$343K Liq.

23

Ends há 25 dias

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election

29%

Siga Batista

$309K Vol.

$52.7K Liq.

12

Ends há 6 meses

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Bulgaria Presidential Election

58%

Iliana Iotova

$93.3K Vol.

$93.3K Liq.

15

Ends em 7 meses

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

96%

70-75%

$248K Vol.

$30.0K Liq.

29

Ends há 25 dias

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

6%

$47.0K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

6

Ends em 24 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Presidencial.

Polymarket currently hosts 333 active markets for Presidencial that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Presidential Election Winner 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.5B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Presidencial predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.