Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Nithya Raman as the frontrunner at 54% to win the Los Angeles mayoral election, driven by a controversial late-March poll showing her leading incumbent Karen Bass among likely voters, amid Bass's 56% unfavorability tied to wildfire response criticism and persistent homelessness issues. A UCLA Luskin poll last week highlighted 40% undecided voters, fueling volatility despite Bass polling at 25% in some surveys—a divergence reflecting prediction market skepticism of the incumbent's reelection path in the nonpartisan June 2 primary, where top-two candidates advance. Spencer Pratt's 17.5% share surged after Joe Rogan's April 16 endorsement on his podcast, boosting the celebrity candidate's profile from Palisades Fire backlash and vows for ICE cooperation and city audits. Upcoming debates and voter turnout in key districts could shift odds further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNithya Raman 54%
Karen Bass 21%
Spencer Pratt 18%
Rae Huang 4.6%
$909,234 Vol.
$909,234 Vol.
Nithya Raman
54%
Karen Bass
21%
Spencer Pratt
18%
Rae Huang
5%
Adam Miller
1%
Asaad Alnajjar
1%
Gina Viola
<1%
Austin Beutner
<1%
Monica Rodriguez
<1%
Rick Caruso
<1%
Lindsey Horvath
<1%
Nithya Raman 54%
Karen Bass 21%
Spencer Pratt 18%
Rae Huang 4.6%
$909,234 Vol.
$909,234 Vol.
Nithya Raman
54%
Karen Bass
21%
Spencer Pratt
18%
Rae Huang
5%
Adam Miller
1%
Asaad Alnajjar
1%
Gina Viola
<1%
Austin Beutner
<1%
Monica Rodriguez
<1%
Rick Caruso
<1%
Lindsey Horvath
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Nithya Raman as the frontrunner at 54% to win the Los Angeles mayoral election, driven by a controversial late-March poll showing her leading incumbent Karen Bass among likely voters, amid Bass's 56% unfavorability tied to wildfire response criticism and persistent homelessness issues. A UCLA Luskin poll last week highlighted 40% undecided voters, fueling volatility despite Bass polling at 25% in some surveys—a divergence reflecting prediction market skepticism of the incumbent's reelection path in the nonpartisan June 2 primary, where top-two candidates advance. Spencer Pratt's 17.5% share surged after Joe Rogan's April 16 endorsement on his podcast, boosting the celebrity candidate's profile from Palisades Fire backlash and vows for ICE cooperation and city audits. Upcoming debates and voter turnout in key districts could shift odds further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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