The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement has produced a contest in a state with a modest Democratic lean and a partisan voting index favoring that party. Major forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election, reflecting consistent historical patterns in which Republicans have not won a Minnesota Senate race since 2002. Democratic primary contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan lead early polling and have raised substantial campaign funds, while the Republican primary features multiple candidates without comparable statewide profiles or momentum. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the state's structural advantages for Democrats alongside the absence of major recent disruptions. A late national Republican surge, an unusually strong GOP nominee, or unexpected shifts in key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though such developments remain distant at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$23,453 Vol.
$23,453 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
92%
Republicano
9%
$23,453 Vol.
$23,453 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
$16,476 Vol.
92%
Republicano
$6,977 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement has produced a contest in a state with a modest Democratic lean and a partisan voting index favoring that party. Major forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election, reflecting consistent historical patterns in which Republicans have not won a Minnesota Senate race since 2002. Democratic primary contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan lead early polling and have raised substantial campaign funds, while the Republican primary features multiple candidates without comparable statewide profiles or momentum. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the state's structural advantages for Democrats alongside the absence of major recent disruptions. A late national Republican surge, an unusually strong GOP nominee, or unexpected shifts in key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though such developments remain distant at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$23,453Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement has produced a contest in a state with a modest Democratic lean and a partisan voting index favoring that party. Major forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election, reflecting consistent historical patterns in which Republicans have not won a Minnesota Senate race since 2002. Democratic primary contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan lead early polling and have raised substantial campaign funds, while the Republican primary features multiple candidates without comparable statewide profiles or momentum. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the state's structural advantages for Democrats alongside the absence of major recent disruptions. A late national Republican surge, an unusually strong GOP nominee, or unexpected shifts in key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though such developments remain distant at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$23,453Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's February 2025 retirement announcement has produced a contest in a state with a modest Democratic lean and a partisan voting index favoring that party. Major forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic ahead of the August 11 primaries and November 3 general election, reflecting consistent historical patterns in which Republicans have not won a Minnesota Senate race since 2002. Democratic primary contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan lead early polling and have raised substantial campaign funds, while the Republican primary features multiple candidates without comparable statewide profiles or momentum. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the state's structural advantages for Democrats alongside the absence of major recent disruptions. A late national Republican surge, an unusually strong GOP nominee, or unexpected shifts in key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though such developments remain distant at this stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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