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Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan

Market icon

Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan

Mallory McMorrow 49%

Abdul El-Sayed 32%

Haley Stevens 14%

Rashida Tlaib <1%

Polymarket

$368,831 Vol.

Mallory McMorrow 49%

Abdul El-Sayed 32%

Haley Stevens 14%

Rashida Tlaib <1%

Polymarket

$368,831 Vol.

Mallory McMorrow

$27,948 Vol.

49%

Abdul El-Sayed

$82,443 Vol.

32%

Haley Stevens

$19,566 Vol.

14%

Rashida Tlaib

$30,359 Vol.

<1%

Sarah Anthony

$13,302 Vol.

<1%

Kristen McDonald Rivet

$109,460 Vol.

<1%

Dana Nessel

$13,125 Vol.

<1%

Andy Levin

$16,886 Vol.

<1%

Matt Sahr

$55,743 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent Global Strategy Group polling from late March shows state Sen. Mallory McMorrow leading Michigan's competitive Democratic Senate primary at 30% among likely voters, ahead of Abdul El-Sayed at 25% and Rep. Haley Stevens at 23%, with undecideds shrinking to 21% as name recognition rises. McMorrow's surge aligns with her strong favorables (+36 net) and endorsements like Sen. Elizabeth Warren's, boosting trader consensus on her frontrunner path in the open-seat race to replace retiring Sen. Gary Peters. El-Sayed holds second on superior favorables (+38), while Stevens trails amid moderate group backing and softer metrics (+16), ahead of proposed debates and the August 4 primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$368,831
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent Global Strategy Group polling from late March shows state Sen. Mallory McMorrow leading Michigan's competitive Democratic Senate primary at 30% among likely voters, ahead of Abdul El-Sayed at 25% and Rep. Haley Stevens at 23%, with undecideds shrinking to 21% as name recognition rises. McMorrow's surge aligns with her strong favorables (+36 net) and endorsements like Sen. Elizabeth Warren's, boosting trader consensus on her frontrunner path in the open-seat race to replace retiring Sen. Gary Peters. El-Sayed holds second on superior favorables (+38), while Stevens trails amid moderate group backing and softer metrics (+16), ahead of proposed debates and the August 4 primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$368,831
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mallory McMorrow" at 49%, followed by "Abdul El-Sayed" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan" has generated $368.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan" is "Mallory McMorrow" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Abdul El-Sayed" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do Senado de Michigan" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.