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Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida

Market icon
Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida

Byron Donalds 86%

James Fishback 10%

Jay Collins 3.1%

Casey DeSantis <1%

Polymarket

$1,278,032 Vol.

Byron Donalds 86%

James Fishback 10%

Jay Collins 3.1%

Casey DeSantis <1%

Polymarket

$1,278,032 Vol.

Byron Donalds

$97,736 Vol.

86%

James Fishback

$322,046 Vol.

10%

Jay Collins

$618,245 Vol.

3%

Casey DeSantis

$171,743 Vol.

<1%

Wilton Simpson

$16,735 Vol.

<1%

Matt Gaetz

$23,099 Vol.

<1%

Jimmy Patronis

$28,428 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds commands 85.5% trader consensus in the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his 46% lead in the April 2 Emerson College poll—42 points ahead of rivals—and a record-shattering $22.2 million Q1 2026 fundraising haul that vaults his total past $67 million. President Trump's endorsement further solidifies his frontrunner position in the open-seat contest succeeding term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis ahead of the August 18 primary. Investor James Fishback trails at 9.5% with recent campus events boosting visibility despite legal distractions, while Lt. Gov. Jay Collins lingers at 3.1% post-January entry; negligible support for Casey DeSantis, Wilton Simpson, Matt Gaetz, and Jimmy Patronis underscores Donalds' consolidated GOP backing.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,278,032
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds commands 85.5% trader consensus in the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his 46% lead in the April 2 Emerson College poll—42 points ahead of rivals—and a record-shattering $22.2 million Q1 2026 fundraising haul that vaults his total past $67 million. President Trump's endorsement further solidifies his frontrunner position in the open-seat contest succeeding term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis ahead of the August 18 primary. Investor James Fishback trails at 9.5% with recent campus events boosting visibility despite legal distractions, while Lt. Gov. Jay Collins lingers at 3.1% post-January entry; negligible support for Casey DeSantis, Wilton Simpson, Matt Gaetz, and Jimmy Patronis underscores Donalds' consolidated GOP backing.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$1,278,032
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Byron Donalds" at 86%, followed by "James Fishback" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida" is "Byron Donalds" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "James Fishback" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Flórida" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.