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Mundo·Eleições Globais

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Eslovénia

Market icon
Mundo·Eleições Globais

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Eslovénia

Janez Janša 42%

Robert Golob 32%

Anže Logar 7.1%

Vladimir Prebilič <1%

Polymarket

$2,132,448 Vol.

Janez Janša 42%

Robert Golob 32%

Anže Logar 7.1%

Vladimir Prebilič <1%

Polymarket

$2,132,448 Vol.

Market icon

Janez Janša

$560,099 Vol.

42%

Market icon

Robert Golob

$529,193 Vol.

32%

Market icon

Anže Logar

$914,540 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Vladimir Prebilič

$128,642 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following the March 22, 2026, Slovenian parliamentary election, trader consensus favors Janez Janša at 42.5% implied probability to become next prime minister amid a hung National Assembly, where incumbent Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) took 29 seats to Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) 28 seats but lost its prior majority. Center-right coordination announced April 1 among SDS, the NSi-SLS-FOKUS bloc (9 seats), Anže Logar's Democrats (6 seats), and Resni.ca (5 seats) signals a viable path to 46+ seats for a Janša-led coalition, despite Resni.ca's reservations against his leadership. Golob, at 31.5%, pursues a broad center-left alliance excluding SDS, facing ideological hurdles. Parliament convenes April 10 for candidacy votes.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,132,448
Data de Término
22 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following the March 22, 2026, Slovenian parliamentary election, trader consensus favors Janez Janša at 42.5% implied probability to become next prime minister amid a hung National Assembly, where incumbent Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) took 29 seats to Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) 28 seats but lost its prior majority. Center-right coordination announced April 1 among SDS, the NSi-SLS-FOKUS bloc (9 seats), Anže Logar's Democrats (6 seats), and Resni.ca (5 seats) signals a viable path to 46+ seats for a Janša-led coalition, despite Resni.ca's reservations against his leadership. Golob, at 31.5%, pursues a broad center-left alliance excluding SDS, facing ideological hurdles. Parliament convenes April 10 for candidacy votes.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,132,448
Data de Término
22 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Eslovénia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Janez Janša" at 42%, followed by "Robert Golob" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Eslovénia" has generated $2.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Eslovénia," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Eslovénia" is "Janez Janša" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Robert Golob" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Eslovénia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.