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icon for Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?

Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?

icon for Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?

Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?

Up

<1% chance
Polymarket

$55 Vol.

Up

<1% chance
Polymarket

$55 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on April 5, 2026, than on March 29, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates. Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used. If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.Recent tracking polls, including Nanos Research's April 24 update showing Liberal support at 44.6%—down from 45.8% the prior week—along with reports of flattening momentum and a lead narrowing to 11 points over Conservatives, have traders pricing a 57.5% chance of declining seat projections this week. Liberals swept recent by-elections in Ontario and Quebec, bolstering their minority government to near-majority status, but lower vote shares amid subdued turnout signal potential voter fatigue. Aggregators like 338Canada project Liberals at 217 seats (up slightly as of April 26), yet the closely contested odds reflect uncertainty ahead of any new polls, with no major releases in the past 48 hours amid stable national trends favoring a Liberal majority path.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on April 5, 2026, than on March 29, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates.

Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used.

If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.

This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.

Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.
Volume
$55
Data de Término
29 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on April 5, 2026, than on March 29, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates. Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used. If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.

Resultado proposto: Down

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Down

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on April 5, 2026, than on March 29, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates. Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used. If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.Recent tracking polls, including Nanos Research's April 24 update showing Liberal support at 44.6%—down from 45.8% the prior week—along with reports of flattening momentum and a lead narrowing to 11 points over Conservatives, have traders pricing a 57.5% chance of declining seat projections this week. Liberals swept recent by-elections in Ontario and Quebec, bolstering their minority government to near-majority status, but lower vote shares amid subdued turnout signal potential voter fatigue. Aggregators like 338Canada project Liberals at 217 seats (up slightly as of April 26), yet the closely contested odds reflect uncertainty ahead of any new polls, with no major releases in the past 48 hours amid stable national trends favoring a Liberal majority path.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on April 5, 2026, than on March 29, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates.

Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used.

If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50.

This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published.

This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.

Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.
Volume
$55
Data de Término
29 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on April 5, 2026, than on March 29, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is higher on March 29, 2026, than on April 5, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC)'s 338Canada Seat Projection is the same on both dates. Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used. If no data point is published for the latter reference date by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the seat projections for the specified party on 338Canada Federal Projections (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection). If the website is unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the 338Canada “338Canada Seat Projection” values for the LPC will qualify, regardless of confidence intervals, methodological changes, or projections by other sources.

Resultado proposto: Down

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Down

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?'s price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 100% for "Down." A price of 100% means the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week? price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?," decide whether you believe Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?'s price at noon ET on March 28 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?'s price at noon ET on March 27. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

This daily window has closed and resolved. The final outcome was "Down." Use the time-range navigation bar at the top of this page to view adjacent windows or find the current live market.

The "Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?" market resolves based on a comparison of Liberals Up or Down for Canada Seats Polls this week?'s price at noon ET on March 28 versus noon ET on March 27, using Binance LIBERALS/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the March 28 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.