Market icon
Eleições·Vietname

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro do Vietname

Market icon
Eleições·Vietname

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro do Vietname

Lê Minh Hưng 95.4%

Trần Lưu Quang 4.0%

Phạm Minh Chính <1%

Phạm Thị Thanh Trà <1%

Polymarket

$16,108,985 Vol.

Lê Minh Hưng 95.4%

Trần Lưu Quang 4.0%

Phạm Minh Chính <1%

Phạm Thị Thanh Trà <1%

Polymarket

$16,108,985 Vol.

Market icon

Lê Minh Hưng

$3,596,606 Vol.

95%

Market icon

Trần Lưu Quang

$3,911,731 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Phạm Minh Chính

$595,327 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Phạm Thị Thanh Trà

$6,060,703 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Lê Hoài Trung

$257,151 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Nguyễn Hòa Bình

$1,335,655 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Lương Tam Quang

$351,813 Vol.

<1%

Vietnam’s Prime Minister is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam. The Party is scheduled to hold its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to formally elect the next Prime Minister. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly and officially assumes office as Prime Minister of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must formally assume the office of Prime Minister. Any acting, interim, or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vietnam's Communist Party of Vietnam concluded its 14th National Congress in January 2026, elevating Lê Minh Hưng—a former State Bank of Vietnam governor and recent Politburo member—to the party's Organization Commission head, positioning him as the presumptive nominee to replace outgoing Prime Minister Phạm Minh Chính. Following Chính's handover on March 31, traders reflect this internal party consensus at 95% implied probability for Hưng, as the National Assembly's upcoming confirmation vote on April 6 routinely ratifies such selections in Vietnam's one-party system. While commanding, the outcome could shift via unforeseen scandals, health issues, or last-minute Politburo adjustments, though historical precedent favors continuity.

Vietnam’s Prime Minister is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam. The Party is scheduled to hold its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to formally elect the next Prime Minister.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly and officially assumes office as Prime Minister of Vietnam.

To count for resolution, the individual must formally assume the office of Prime Minister. Any acting, interim, or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,108,985
Data de Término
25 jan 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 20, 2026, 10:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Vietnam’s Prime Minister is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam. The Party is scheduled to hold its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to formally elect the next Prime Minister. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly and officially assumes office as Prime Minister of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must formally assume the office of Prime Minister. Any acting, interim, or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vietnam’s Prime Minister is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam. The Party is scheduled to hold its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to formally elect the next Prime Minister. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly and officially assumes office as Prime Minister of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must formally assume the office of Prime Minister. Any acting, interim, or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vietnam's Communist Party of Vietnam concluded its 14th National Congress in January 2026, elevating Lê Minh Hưng—a former State Bank of Vietnam governor and recent Politburo member—to the party's Organization Commission head, positioning him as the presumptive nominee to replace outgoing Prime Minister Phạm Minh Chính. Following Chính's handover on March 31, traders reflect this internal party consensus at 95% implied probability for Hưng, as the National Assembly's upcoming confirmation vote on April 6 routinely ratifies such selections in Vietnam's one-party system. While commanding, the outcome could shift via unforeseen scandals, health issues, or last-minute Politburo adjustments, though historical precedent favors continuity.

Vietnam’s Prime Minister is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam. The Party is scheduled to hold its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to formally elect the next Prime Minister.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly and officially assumes office as Prime Minister of Vietnam.

To count for resolution, the individual must formally assume the office of Prime Minister. Any acting, interim, or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,108,985
Data de Término
25 jan 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 20, 2026, 10:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Vietnam’s Prime Minister is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam. The Party is scheduled to hold its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to formally elect the next Prime Minister. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly and officially assumes office as Prime Minister of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must formally assume the office of Prime Minister. Any acting, interim, or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Primeiro-Ministro do Vietname" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lê Minh Hưng" at 95%, followed by "Trần Lưu Quang" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro do Vietname" has generated $16.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro do Vietname," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro do Vietname" is "Lê Minh Hưng" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Trần Lưu Quang" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro do Vietname" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.