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Fechar previsões e probabilidades

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Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

1%

40+

$3M Vol.

$992K today

$164K Liq.

Ends há 7 dias

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

74%

20+

$249K Vol.

$90.1K today

$32.0K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

29%

$7,000-$7,500

$24.4K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?

What will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at in December?

-

$52 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

74%

Paramount

$1M Vol.

$42.5K Liq.

56

Ends em cerca de 1 ano

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

74%

$111K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

10

Ends em 8 meses

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?

88%

Up

$361K Vol.

$356K today

$10.0K Liq.

Ends em 11 minutos

Ethereum Up or Down on May 6?

Ethereum Up or Down on May 6?

1%

Up

$67.1K Vol.

$67.1K today

$15.5K Liq.

Ends em 11 minutos

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?

Up

$31.5K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 19 horas

NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on May 6?

NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on May 6?

100%

$190

$39.1K Vol.

$44.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 4 horas

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 5?

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 5?

Up

$15.4K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 19 horas

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 6?

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 6?

98%

Up

$6.0K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 4 horas

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 6?

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 6?

80%

Up

$5.4K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 4 horas

Meta (META) closes above ___ on May 6?

Meta (META) closes above ___ on May 6?

98%

$590

$2.9K Vol.

$36.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 4 horas

Netflix (NFLX) closes week of May 4 at ___?

Netflix (NFLX) closes week of May 4 at ___?

83%

$80-$90

$3.9K Vol.

$97.2K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on May 6?

Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on May 6?

99%

$265

$2.2K Vol.

$38.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 4 horas

XRP Up or Down on May 6?

XRP Up or Down on May 6?

100%

Up

$3.5K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends em 11 minutos

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?

99%

Up

$98.9K Vol.

$97.6K today

$49.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 4 horas

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 6?

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on May 6?

51%

Up

$1.8K Vol.

$15.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 4 horas

Opendoor (OPEN) closes week of May 4 at ___?

Opendoor (OPEN) closes week of May 4 at ___?

62%

$5.00-$6.00

$4.0K Vol.

$100.0K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Fechar.

Polymarket currently hosts 1631 active markets for Fechar that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to 20+. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Fechar predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.