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TrâNsito previsões e probabilidades

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

6%

$9M Vol.

$1M today

$175K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

31%

$8M Vol.

$1M today

$310K Liq.

1

Ends em 24 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

53%

$3M Vol.

$733K today

$203K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

<1%

$37M Vol.

$195K today

$191K Liq.

3

Ends há 7 dias

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

1%

40+

$3M Vol.

$1M today

$164K Liq.

Ends há 7 dias

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of Apr 27?

96%

25-49

$684K Vol.

$471K today

$61.7K Liq.

Ends há 4 dias

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

76%

20+

$245K Vol.

$104K today

$30.6K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?

52%

25-49

$43.9K Vol.

$86.0K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

97%

0-10

$605K Vol.

$351K today

$88.6K Liq.

Ends há 7 dias

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

16%

$301K Vol.

$99.0K today

$27.8K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

19%

September 30

$3M Vol.

$58.9K today

$79.2K Liq.

92

Ends há 7 dias

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

41%

0-10

$13.9K Vol.

$95.4K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

37%

Oil Sanction Relief

$202K Vol.

$96.0K today

$111K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2%

$137K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

6

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

27%

May 31

$7M Vol.

$3M today

$438K Liq.

432

Ends em 24 dias

Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

19%

May 31

$124K Vol.

$96.3K today

$79.1K Liq.

7

Ends em 24 dias

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

19%

$219K Vol.

$57.2K Liq.

10

Ends em 8 meses

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

9%

$1M Vol.

$110K Liq.

38

Ends em 8 meses

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

4%

$6.7K Vol.

$19.3K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 dias

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

39%

May 31

$459 Vol.

$780 Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like TrâNsito.

Polymarket currently hosts 136 active markets for TrâNsito that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $72.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran closes its airspace by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on TrâNsito predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.