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IrãO previsões e probabilidades

·
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

100%

December 31

$361M Vol.

$15M today

$6M Liq.

10,670

Ends em 7 meses

US and Iran sign an agreement by...?

US and Iran sign an agreement by...?

100%

June 15

$9M Vol.

$6M today

$3M Liq.

251

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

<1%

June 13

$60M Vol.

$1M today

$871K Liq.

1,090

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

98%

July 31

$50M Vol.

$1M today

$522K Liq.

6

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

80%

Switzerland

$12M Vol.

$936K today

$795K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

39%

$4M Vol.

$586K today

$63.3K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

25%

July 31

$9M Vol.

$424K today

$343K Liq.

101

Ends há 17 dias

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$16M Vol.

$370K today

$2M Liq.

121

Ends em 7 meses

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

4%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$241K today

$338K Liq.

95

Ends em 14 dias

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

34%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$213K today

$109K Liq.

174

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

27%

December 31

$16M Vol.

$194K today

$293K Liq.

195

Ends em 7 meses

US-Iran deal text released by...?

US-Iran deal text released by...?

96%

June 30

$190K Vol.

$190K today

$119K Liq.

17

Ends em 14 dias

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

12%

$38M Vol.

$123K today

$544K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

89%

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf

$575K Vol.

$79.5K today

$500K Liq.

21

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

72%

Steve Witkoff

$2M Vol.

$75.0K today

$113K Liq.

84

Ends em 13 dias

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

43%

$112K Vol.

$48.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

17%

December 31

$18M Vol.

$185K Liq.

1,072

Ends em 7 meses

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

28%

$453K Vol.

$72.8K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

Belgium vs. IR Iran

Belgium vs. IR Iran

12%

Yes

$102K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$21M Vol.

$286K Liq.

420

Ends em 13 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like IrãO.

Polymarket currently hosts 213 active markets for IrãO that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $623.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on IrãO predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.