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Israel previsões e probabilidades

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Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

20%

July 31

$9M Vol.

$718K today

$244K Liq.

94

Ends há 16 dias

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

36%

July 31

$5M Vol.

$609K today

$139K Liq.

219

Ends há 16 dias

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

31%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$17M Vol.

$571K today

$1M Liq.

328

Ends em 7 meses

Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

25%

July 15

$17M Vol.

$284K today

$312K Liq.

702

Ends há 16 dias

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

14%

July 31

$3M Vol.

$227K today

$184K Liq.

67

Ends em 14 dias

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

7%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$26.2K Liq.

184

Ends em 14 dias

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

88%

June 30

$54.6K Vol.

$30.8K Liq.

1

Ends em 15 dias

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

2%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$35.5K Liq.

57

Ends há 16 dias

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

94%

Decrease

$21.1K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

8%

$48.0K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

51%

4

$7M Vol.

$244K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

34

Ends em 7 meses

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

33%

December 31

$635K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

10

Ends há 6 meses

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

3%

Lebanon

$437K Vol.

$88.8K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

16%

$255K Vol.

$17.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

2%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

354

Ends há 6 meses

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

5%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

978

Ends em 14 dias

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

19%

$182K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$449K Vol.

$28.3K Liq.

48

Ends há 6 meses

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?

2%

$94.2K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

14

Ends em 14 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Israel.

Polymarket currently hosts 165 active markets for Israel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $71.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 31% chance to Benjamin Netanyahu. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Israel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.