Hamas senior official Khalil al-Hayya led a delegation to Cairo on April 1, 2026, for urgent talks with Egyptian mediators on advancing Phase II of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire that took effect October 10, 2025, under U.S., Egypt, Qatar, and Türkiye auspices. Sticking points persist over sequencing Israeli troop withdrawal and Hamas disarmament, with Israel insisting on full decommissioning first and Hamas demanding withdrawal guarantees beforehand, amid fragile truce conditions marked by ongoing clashes and over 680 Palestinian deaths since Phase I. The U.S.-Israel war with Iran has diverted diplomatic focus, stalling Trump's Board of Peace plan for eight-month gradual disarmament, technocratic governance, and reconstruction. Cairo negotiations represent the key near-term catalyst for potential mutual agreement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$2,701,447 Vol.
30 de junho
15%
$2,701,447 Vol.
30 de junho
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire. Any agreement that is publicly described by the parties, or by mediators on their behalf, as the completion of “Phase 2” of the ceasefire will qualify, regardless of whether it includes further Israeli withdrawals beyond the “yellow line,” or agreements by Hamas to disarm.
An extension or continuation of the Phase 1 arrangement alone will not qualify.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Israel and Hamas, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting will also qualify.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 17, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement for the second phase of the Israel–Hamas ceasefire, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Israel and Hamas by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
For purposes of this market, a “second phase” ceasefire agreement refers to a deal publicly acknowledged by both Israel and Hamas (directly or via recognized mediators such as the U.S., Egypt, or Qatar) that goes beyond the Phase 1 initial truce and includes commitments towards a comprehensive or “full” ceasefire. Any agreement that is publicly described by the parties, or by mediators on their behalf, as the completion of “Phase 2” of the ceasefire will qualify, regardless of whether it includes further Israeli withdrawals beyond the “yellow line,” or agreements by Hamas to disarm.
An extension or continuation of the Phase 1 arrangement alone will not qualify.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Israel and Hamas, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Hamas senior official Khalil al-Hayya led a delegation to Cairo on April 1, 2026, for urgent talks with Egyptian mediators on advancing Phase II of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire that took effect October 10, 2025, under U.S., Egypt, Qatar, and Türkiye auspices. Sticking points persist over sequencing Israeli troop withdrawal and Hamas disarmament, with Israel insisting on full decommissioning first and Hamas demanding withdrawal guarantees beforehand, amid fragile truce conditions marked by ongoing clashes and over 680 Palestinian deaths since Phase I. The U.S.-Israel war with Iran has diverted diplomatic focus, stalling Trump's Board of Peace plan for eight-month gradual disarmament, technocratic governance, and reconstruction. Cairo negotiations represent the key near-term catalyst for potential mutual agreement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions