Trader consensus prices "No" on formal Israeli annexation of West Bank territory before 2027 at 87%, driven by the absence of any official sovereignty declaration despite accelerated de facto measures. In February 2026, the Netanyahu cabinet approved registering large West Bank areas as state land—the first such move since 1967—prompting condemnation from UN experts, Amnesty International, and nearly 20 countries as steps toward unlawful annexation. March 2026 UN reports detailed surging settlement expansion, outpost funding exceeding NIS 19 billion, and a new barrier severing Jordan Valley access, fueling displacement amid Iran war-related settler violence. Regional diplomatic pressures, including US opposition to overt annexation, and focus on Gaza ceasefire talks have deterred explicit legal extension of Israeli law, leaving formal annexation unlikely per trader assessments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoIsrael anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?
Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?
Sim
$50,107 Vol.
$50,107 Vol.
Sim
$50,107 Vol.
$50,107 Vol.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" on formal Israeli annexation of West Bank territory before 2027 at 87%, driven by the absence of any official sovereignty declaration despite accelerated de facto measures. In February 2026, the Netanyahu cabinet approved registering large West Bank areas as state land—the first such move since 1967—prompting condemnation from UN experts, Amnesty International, and nearly 20 countries as steps toward unlawful annexation. March 2026 UN reports detailed surging settlement expansion, outpost funding exceeding NIS 19 billion, and a new barrier severing Jordan Valley access, fueling displacement amid Iran war-related settler violence. Regional diplomatic pressures, including US opposition to overt annexation, and focus on Gaza ceasefire talks have deterred explicit legal extension of Israeli law, leaving formal annexation unlikely per trader assessments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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