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Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?

Market icon

Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

13% acaso
Polymarket

$50,107 Vol.

Sim

13% acaso
Polymarket

$50,107 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" on formal Israeli annexation of West Bank territory before 2027 at 87%, driven by the absence of any official sovereignty declaration despite accelerated de facto measures. In February 2026, the Netanyahu cabinet approved registering large West Bank areas as state land—the first such move since 1967—prompting condemnation from UN experts, Amnesty International, and nearly 20 countries as steps toward unlawful annexation. March 2026 UN reports detailed surging settlement expansion, outpost funding exceeding NIS 19 billion, and a new barrier severing Jordan Valley access, fueling displacement amid Iran war-related settler violence. Regional diplomatic pressures, including US opposition to overt annexation, and focus on Gaza ceasefire talks have deterred explicit legal extension of Israeli law, leaving formal annexation unlikely per trader assessments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$50,107
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" on formal Israeli annexation of West Bank territory before 2027 at 87%, driven by the absence of any official sovereignty declaration despite accelerated de facto measures. In February 2026, the Netanyahu cabinet approved registering large West Bank areas as state land—the first such move since 1967—prompting condemnation from UN experts, Amnesty International, and nearly 20 countries as steps toward unlawful annexation. March 2026 UN reports detailed surging settlement expansion, outpost funding exceeding NIS 19 billion, and a new barrier severing Jordan Valley access, fueling displacement amid Iran war-related settler violence. Regional diplomatic pressures, including US opposition to overt annexation, and focus on Gaza ceasefire talks have deterred explicit legal extension of Israeli law, leaving formal annexation unlikely per trader assessments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$50,107
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Israel vai anexar território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?" has generated $50.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?" is "Israel vai anexar território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Israel anexará o território da Cisjordânia antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.