Bank of Israel's Monetary Committee held its benchmark interest rate steady at 4% on March 30 amid escalating Iran conflict risks, slashing the 2026 growth forecast while inflation remained within the 1-3% target at 2% in February. Governor Amir Yaron signaled potential further cuts to 3.5% if price pressures ease, following prior reductions post-Gaza ceasefire, yet geopolitical tensions and possible inflation upticks from war sustain caution. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with no change slightly ahead at 49.5% versus decrease at 46.5%, as upcoming CPI data, the May 25 meeting, and conflict developments could drive separation toward easing or a hold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSem alteração 50%
Redução 47%
Aumento 46%
Redução
47%
Sem alteração
50%
Aumento
46%
Sem alteração 50%
Redução 47%
Aumento 46%
Redução
47%
Sem alteração
50%
Aumento
46%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its July 6, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their July 6, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 30, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its July 6, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their July 6, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bank of Israel's Monetary Committee held its benchmark interest rate steady at 4% on March 30 amid escalating Iran conflict risks, slashing the 2026 growth forecast while inflation remained within the 1-3% target at 2% in February. Governor Amir Yaron signaled potential further cuts to 3.5% if price pressures ease, following prior reductions post-Gaza ceasefire, yet geopolitical tensions and possible inflation upticks from war sustain caution. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with no change slightly ahead at 49.5% versus decrease at 46.5%, as upcoming CPI data, the May 25 meeting, and conflict developments could drive separation toward easing or a hold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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