Polymarket traders price a 91% implied probability for the Bank of Israel to hold its benchmark interest rate steady at 4% in the May 25 Monetary Committee meeting, reflecting strong consensus after the central bank's March 30 decision to maintain rates amid balanced inflation at 2%—the midpoint of its 1%-3% target—and persistent geopolitical risks from the Iran conflict. February CPI rose modestly to 2% year-over-year, while the Research Department forecasts 2.2% for 2026, supporting a cautious policy stance despite lowered GDP growth projections. Governor Yaron signaled potential easing later if risks subside, but fiscal budget delays could prolong the pause. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected April 15 CPI data or sharper economic slowdown prompting a 25-basis-point cut.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoDecisão do Banco de Israel em maio?
Decisão do Banco de Israel em maio?
Sem Alteração 92%
Redução 8%
Aumentar 2.8%
$11,946 Vol.
$11,946 Vol.
Redução
8%
Sem Alteração
92%
Aumentar
3%
Sem Alteração 92%
Redução 8%
Aumentar 2.8%
$11,946 Vol.
$11,946 Vol.
Redução
8%
Sem Alteração
92%
Aumentar
3%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 91% implied probability for the Bank of Israel to hold its benchmark interest rate steady at 4% in the May 25 Monetary Committee meeting, reflecting strong consensus after the central bank's March 30 decision to maintain rates amid balanced inflation at 2%—the midpoint of its 1%-3% target—and persistent geopolitical risks from the Iran conflict. February CPI rose modestly to 2% year-over-year, while the Research Department forecasts 2.2% for 2026, supporting a cautious policy stance despite lowered GDP growth projections. Governor Yaron signaled potential easing later if risks subside, but fiscal budget delays could prolong the pause. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected April 15 CPI data or sharper economic slowdown prompting a 25-basis-point cut.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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