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Derivativos previsões e probabilidades

·
Quais bancos vão falir até 30 de junho?

Quais bancos vão falir até 30 de junho?

1%

Bank of America

$568K Vol.

$105K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Quais bancos falirão até o final de 2026?

Quais bancos falirão até o final de 2026?

7%

HSBC

$24.6K Vol.

$43.2K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

A SCOTUS aceita o caso de contrato de evento desportivo até...?

A SCOTUS aceita o caso de contrato de evento desportivo até...?

4%

31 de julho

$953K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

6

Ends em 6 meses

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

20%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

135

Ends em 6 meses

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 25?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 25?

51%

$760

$0 Vol.

$55 Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

56%

↓ 0.0010

$117K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

4

Ends em 6 meses

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 24?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 24?

100%

$720

$9.0K Vol.

$37.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 8 horas

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

3%

June 30

$168K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

10

What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by June 30?

What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by June 30?

44%

↓ 45

$6.8K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

What price will Solana hit in June?

What price will Solana hit in June?

16%

↓ 60

$2M Vol.

$119K today

$432K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

27%

December 31, 2027

$502K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

32

Ends em mais de 1 ano

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$431 Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility index hit by June 30?

What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility index hit by June 30?

17%

↓ 35

$6.4K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

What price will Ethena hit in June?

What price will Ethena hit in June?

5%

↑ 0.12

$4.8K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

32%

↓ $720

$519K Vol.

$127K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 25?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 25?

50%

$76

$0 Vol.

$2 Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

What price will Solana hit on June 24?

What price will Solana hit on June 24?

3%

↓ 65

$5.6K Vol.

$48.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 16 horas

What price will Solana hit June 22-28?

What price will Solana hit June 22-28?

5%

↓ 60

$17.7K Vol.

$81.6K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

20%

↑ $3

$706K Vol.

$31.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

What price will Hyperliquid hit in June?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in June?

5%

↓ 52

$135K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Derivativos.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Derivativos that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Quais bancos vão falir até 30 de junho?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 20% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Derivativos predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.