Market icon
Economia·África Do Sul

Decisão do Banco de Reserva da África do Sul em maio?

Market icon
Economia·África Do Sul

Decisão do Banco de Reserva da África do Sul em maio?

mai 28

mai 28

Sem Alteração 64%

Aumento 32%

Diminuir 4.3%

Polymarket
NOVO

Sem Alteração 64%

Aumento 32%

Diminuir 4.3%

Polymarket
NOVO

Diminuir

$1,105 Vol.

4%

Sem Alteração

$2,066 Vol.

64%

Aumento

$1,120 Vol.

32%

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability for no change in the South African Reserve Bank's repo rate at its May 28, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the MPC's unanimous March 26 decision to hold steady at 6.75% amid cooling headline CPI inflation to 3.0% in February—within the revised 3% target midpoint. This positioning stems from SARB's updated Quarterly Projection Model forecasts postponing prior rate cut expectations, citing persistent services inflation above 4% and global uncertainties. A 32% chance of a hike anticipates Q2 inflation risks to 4.0%, driven by administered prices and fuel, per MPC warnings and analyst views like Morgan Stanley's. Cuts at 4.3% remain unlikely given subdued GDP growth near 1% and high unemployment around 31%. Watch April CPI data for sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$4,291
Data de Término
28 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 63.5% implied probability for no change in the South African Reserve Bank's repo rate at its May 28, 2026, Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the MPC's unanimous March 26 decision to hold steady at 6.75% amid cooling headline CPI inflation to 3.0% in February—within the revised 3% target midpoint. This positioning stems from SARB's updated Quarterly Projection Model forecasts postponing prior rate cut expectations, citing persistent services inflation above 4% and global uncertainties. A 32% chance of a hike anticipates Q2 inflation risks to 4.0%, driven by administered prices and fuel, per MPC warnings and analyst views like Morgan Stanley's. Cuts at 4.3% remain unlikely given subdued GDP growth near 1% and high unemployment around 31%. Watch April CPI data for sentiment shifts.

This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar

This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$4,291
Data de Término
28 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the repo rate resulting from the South African Reserve Bank’s May Monetary Policy Committee meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Decisão do Banco de Reserva da África do Sul em maio?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sem Alteração" at 64%, followed by "Aumento" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Decisão do Banco de Reserva da África do Sul em maio?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Decisão do Banco de Reserva da África do Sul em maio?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Decisão do Banco de Reserva da África do Sul em maio?" is "Sem Alteração" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aumento" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Decisão do Banco de Reserva da África do Sul em maio?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.