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icon for Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?
Geopolítica·Médio Oriente

Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?

icon for Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?
Geopolítica·Médio Oriente

Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?

$1,535,823 Vol.

31 mai 2026
Polymarket

$1,535,823 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de maio

$307,036 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli strikes, has made no verified public appearance despite widespread injury rumors from the attacks, including reports of severe facial and leg wounds limiting his visibility. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian stated on May 7 that he held a "humble and cordial" private meeting with Khamenei, but no photographs, video, or broadcast evidence emerged, sustaining speculation about his health and IRGC influence in governance. Traders weigh this opacity against written directives issued in his name, with ceasefire diplomacy and potential leadership disclosures as key near-term catalysts that could prompt a sighting or confirm incapacity.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Volume
$1,535,823
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli strikes, has made no verified public appearance despite widespread injury rumors from the attacks, including reports of severe facial and leg wounds limiting his visibility. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian stated on May 7 that he held a "humble and cordial" private meeting with Khamenei, but no photographs, video, or broadcast evidence emerged, sustaining speculation about his health and IRGC influence in governance. Traders weigh this opacity against written directives issued in his name, with ceasefire diplomacy and potential leadership disclosures as key near-term catalysts that could prompt a sighting or confirm incapacity.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Volume
$1,535,823
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de maio" at 11%, followed by "13 de março" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?" has generated $1.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?" is "31 de maio" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "13 de março" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Aparição pública de Mojtaba Khamenei por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.