Recent US-Iran negotiations, anchored in the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, established a 60-day window for talks on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions, and related issues following 2025-2026 military actions that damaged enrichment infrastructure. The framework requires Iran to maintain the status quo by refraining from further uranium enrichment or facility expansion pending a final deal, yet core disputes persist over any permanent limits on enrichment levels, stockpile handling under IAEA oversight, and verification measures. Iran has consistently asserted its right to enrichment for civilian purposes, while US positions have emphasized stricter constraints. With the negotiation period now concluded without such a commitment and September 30 approaching, trader pricing at 97.3% No reflects these entrenched positions and short timeline, though an unexpected diplomatic breakthrough or extension could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO Irã concorda em acabar com o enriquecimento de urânio até 30 de setembro?
O Irã concorda em acabar com o enriquecimento de urânio até 30 de setembro?
Sim
3% chance
$62,846 Vol.
$62,846 Vol.
30 set 2026
Sim
3% chance
$62,846 Vol.
$62,846 Vol.
30 set 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran negotiations, anchored in the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, established a 60-day window for talks on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions, and related issues following 2025-2026 military actions that damaged enrichment infrastructure. The framework requires Iran to maintain the status quo by refraining from further uranium enrichment or facility expansion pending a final deal, yet core disputes persist over any permanent limits on enrichment levels, stockpile handling under IAEA oversight, and verification measures. Iran has consistently asserted its right to enrichment for civilian purposes, while US positions have emphasized stricter constraints. With the negotiation period now concluded without such a commitment and September 30 approaching, trader pricing at 97.3% No reflects these entrenched positions and short timeline, though an unexpected diplomatic breakthrough or extension could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ET
Volume
$62,846Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran negotiations, anchored in the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, established a 60-day window for talks on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions, and related issues following 2025-2026 military actions that damaged enrichment infrastructure. The framework requires Iran to maintain the status quo by refraining from further uranium enrichment or facility expansion pending a final deal, yet core disputes persist over any permanent limits on enrichment levels, stockpile handling under IAEA oversight, and verification measures. Iran has consistently asserted its right to enrichment for civilian purposes, while US positions have emphasized stricter constraints. With the negotiation period now concluded without such a commitment and September 30 approaching, trader pricing at 97.3% No reflects these entrenched positions and short timeline, though an unexpected diplomatic breakthrough or extension could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$62,846Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran negotiations, anchored in the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, established a 60-day window for talks on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions, and related issues following 2025-2026 military actions that damaged enrichment infrastructure. The framework requires Iran to maintain the status quo by refraining from further uranium enrichment or facility expansion pending a final deal, yet core disputes persist over any permanent limits on enrichment levels, stockpile handling under IAEA oversight, and verification measures. Iran has consistently asserted its right to enrichment for civilian purposes, while US positions have emphasized stricter constraints. With the negotiation period now concluded without such a commitment and September 30 approaching, trader pricing at 97.3% No reflects these entrenched positions and short timeline, though an unexpected diplomatic breakthrough or extension could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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