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icon for Netanyahu fora por...?
Geopolítica·Médio Oriente

Netanyahu fora por...?

icon for Netanyahu fora por...?
Geopolítica·Médio Oriente

Netanyahu fora por...?

jan 1, 2027

jan 1, 2027

$124,388,436 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Ganhe 3.25%
Polymarket

$124,388,436 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de dezembro

$2,534,867 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling shows Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc holding 51–55 seats in the 120-seat Knesset ahead of the October 27 election, short of the 61-seat majority required to govern, while centrist and opposition parties led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s Together hover near or above that threshold. Persistent public dissatisfaction over the October 7, 2023 attacks, the subsequent wars in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran, and Netanyahu’s ongoing corruption trial have eroded support for his Likud-led coalition. Coalition arithmetic remains fluid, with Arab parties holding potential swing votes and some Zionist opposition factions reluctant to rely on them. Post-election negotiations could extend weeks or months, leaving Netanyahu as caretaker prime minister, and scenarios such as a unity government or repeat elections remain under discussion. These dynamics have kept trader focus on whether Netanyahu can retain the premiership beyond late 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$124,388,436
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling shows Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc holding 51–55 seats in the 120-seat Knesset ahead of the October 27 election, short of the 61-seat majority required to govern, while centrist and opposition parties led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s Together hover near or above that threshold. Persistent public dissatisfaction over the October 7, 2023 attacks, the subsequent wars in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran, and Netanyahu’s ongoing corruption trial have eroded support for his Likud-led coalition. Coalition arithmetic remains fluid, with Arab parties holding potential swing votes and some Zionist opposition factions reluctant to rely on them. Post-election negotiations could extend weeks or months, leaving Netanyahu as caretaker prime minister, and scenarios such as a unity government or repeat elections remain under discussion. These dynamics have kept trader focus on whether Netanyahu can retain the premiership beyond late 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$124,388,436
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Netanyahu fora por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 51%, followed by "31 de março" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Netanyahu fora por...?" has generated $124.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Netanyahu fora por...?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Netanyahu fora por...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de março" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Netanyahu fora por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.