Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by his third-term mandate from the 2024 general election and the Bharatiya Janata Party’s strong performance in recent state contests, including decisive gains in West Bengal. The next Lok Sabha election is scheduled no earlier than 2029, and no constitutional term limits, coalition fractures, or internal party challenges have emerged to threaten his leadership. Recent diplomatic engagements and policy continuity further reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 92.8% implied probability for “No.” While health events, unforeseen scandals, or sudden loss of parliamentary support could theoretically alter the timeline, current evidence shows no such developments within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoModi será lançado até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Sim
$60,519 Vol.
$60,519 Vol.
Sim
$60,519 Vol.
$60,519 Vol.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by his third-term mandate from the 2024 general election and the Bharatiya Janata Party’s strong performance in recent state contests, including decisive gains in West Bengal. The next Lok Sabha election is scheduled no earlier than 2029, and no constitutional term limits, coalition fractures, or internal party challenges have emerged to threaten his leadership. Recent diplomatic engagements and policy continuity further reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 92.8% implied probability for “No.” While health events, unforeseen scandals, or sudden loss of parliamentary support could theoretically alter the timeline, current evidence shows no such developments within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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