Prime Minister Narendra Modi's continued leadership of the BJP-led NDA coalition, which holds a stable majority in the Lok Sabha until the 2029 general election, underpins the 92.1% implied probability that he will not exit office by December 31, 2026. Recent opposition claims, such as AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal's March 2026 assertion that Modi may not remain PM through the year, have failed to gain traction amid a lack of supporting evidence like health issues, no-confidence motions, or party fractures. Modi remains active, inaugurating infrastructure projects worth over ₹10,000 crore in Kerala on March 11 and addressing Parliament on West Asia tensions on March 23. India’s upcoming BRICS presidency in 2026 further signals policy continuity, though late-breaking scandals or health events could still shift trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoModi será lançado até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Modi será lançado até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Sim
$17,400 Vol.
$17,400 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$17,400 Vol.
$17,400 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's continued leadership of the BJP-led NDA coalition, which holds a stable majority in the Lok Sabha until the 2029 general election, underpins the 92.1% implied probability that he will not exit office by December 31, 2026. Recent opposition claims, such as AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal's March 2026 assertion that Modi may not remain PM through the year, have failed to gain traction amid a lack of supporting evidence like health issues, no-confidence motions, or party fractures. Modi remains active, inaugurating infrastructure projects worth over ₹10,000 crore in Kerala on March 11 and addressing Parliament on West Asia tensions on March 23. India’s upcoming BRICS presidency in 2026 further signals policy continuity, though late-breaking scandals or health events could still shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$17,400Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Narendra Modi's continued leadership of the BJP-led NDA coalition, which holds a stable majority in the Lok Sabha until the 2029 general election, underpins the 92.1% implied probability that he will not exit office by December 31, 2026. Recent opposition claims, such as AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal's March 2026 assertion that Modi may not remain PM through the year, have failed to gain traction amid a lack of supporting evidence like health issues, no-confidence motions, or party fractures. Modi remains active, inaugurating infrastructure projects worth over ₹10,000 crore in Kerala on March 11 and addressing Parliament on West Asia tensions on March 23. India’s upcoming BRICS presidency in 2026 further signals policy continuity, though late-breaking scandals or health events could still shift trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,400Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's continued leadership of the BJP-led NDA coalition, which holds a stable majority in the Lok Sabha until the 2029 general election, underpins the 92.1% implied probability that he will not exit office by December 31, 2026. Recent opposition claims, such as AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal's March 2026 assertion that Modi may not remain PM through the year, have failed to gain traction amid a lack of supporting evidence like health issues, no-confidence motions, or party fractures. Modi remains active, inaugurating infrastructure projects worth over ₹10,000 crore in Kerala on March 11 and addressing Parliament on West Asia tensions on March 23. India’s upcoming BRICS presidency in 2026 further signals policy continuity, though late-breaking scandals or health events could still shift trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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