Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party secured a landmark victory in West Bengal's assembly elections on May 4, 2026, ending Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress dominance and expanding BJP control to 17 states, signaling robust national momentum despite post-2024 Lok Sabha coalition reliance on NDA allies like TDP and JD(U). These gains, alongside successes in Assam and Puducherry, have quelled concerns over government stability following an April parliamentary defeat on a Constitution Amendment Bill, reinforcing trader consensus at 89.1% "No" probability of Modi exiting office by year-end. No-confidence threats or resignations remain absent, with his term secure until 2029 polls barring unforeseen disruptions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoModi será lançado até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Modi será lançado até 31 de dezembro de 2026?
Sim
$27,305 Vol.
$27,305 Vol.
Sim
$27,305 Vol.
$27,305 Vol.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party secured a landmark victory in West Bengal's assembly elections on May 4, 2026, ending Mamata Banerjee's Trinamool Congress dominance and expanding BJP control to 17 states, signaling robust national momentum despite post-2024 Lok Sabha coalition reliance on NDA allies like TDP and JD(U). These gains, alongside successes in Assam and Puducherry, have quelled concerns over government stability following an April parliamentary defeat on a Constitution Amendment Bill, reinforcing trader consensus at 89.1% "No" probability of Modi exiting office by year-end. No-confidence threats or resignations remain absent, with his term secure until 2029 polls barring unforeseen disruptions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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