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Anthony Albanese como primeiro-ministro da Austrália por...?

Market icon

Anthony Albanese como primeiro-ministro da Austrália por...?

NOVO
31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$6,123 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junho

$1,923 Vol.

7%

31 de dezembro

$4,200 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthony Albanese secured a second term as Australian Prime Minister following Labor's landslide victory in the May 2025 federal election, the first consecutive win for a PM since 2004. Recent trader sentiment reflects pressure from declining approval ratings, with polls showing a slump after fuel shortages and backlash over security responses to the December 2025 Bondi terror attack, prompting a partial retreat on related legislation. The opposition Liberal-National Coalition has stabilized under new leader Angus Taylor, ending internal chaos. No formal leadership spill within Labor or viable no-confidence motion exists, though online petitions and criticism persist. The next federal election is due by May 2028, with upcoming budget debates and economic indicators key catalysts for shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,123
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthony Albanese secured a second term as Australian Prime Minister following Labor's landslide victory in the May 2025 federal election, the first consecutive win for a PM since 2004. Recent trader sentiment reflects pressure from declining approval ratings, with polls showing a slump after fuel shortages and backlash over security responses to the December 2025 Bondi terror attack, prompting a partial retreat on related legislation. The opposition Liberal-National Coalition has stabilized under new leader Angus Taylor, ending internal chaos. No formal leadership spill within Labor or viable no-confidence motion exists, though online petitions and criticism persist. The next federal election is due by May 2028, with upcoming budget debates and economic indicators key catalysts for shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,123
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthony Albanese ceases to be the Prime Minister of Australia for any period of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Anthony Albanese's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Australian government and Anthony Albanese; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Anthony Albanese como primeiro-ministro da Austrália por...? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 17%, followed by "30 de junho" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Anthony Albanese como primeiro-ministro da Austrália por...? " is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Anthony Albanese como primeiro-ministro da Austrália por...? ," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Anthony Albanese como primeiro-ministro da Austrália por...? " is "31 de dezembro" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Anthony Albanese como primeiro-ministro da Austrália por...? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.