Trader consensus favors Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton at 65.5% to win the Republican Senate primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn on May 26, reflecting recent polls showing Paxton leading by 5–16 points among likely voters, including a March 19–23 GQR survey (47%–42%) and earlier Impact Research (53%–37%). In the March 3 primary, Cornyn edged Paxton 42%–41% to force the runoff, with Rep. Wesley Hunt third at 14% and others negligible. Paxton's higher favorability among Texas Republicans, CPAC endorsement last week amid boos for Cornyn, and President Trump's pending decision amid MAGA pushback have widened his edge over the establishment incumbent, despite Cornyn's fundraising and some GOP backing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas
Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Texas
Ken Paxton 66%
John Cornyn 33%
Beth Van Duyne <1%
Dawn Buckingham <1%
$14,940,035 Vol.
$14,940,035 Vol.

Ken Paxton
66%

John Cornyn
33%

Beth Van Duyne
<1%

Dawn Buckingham
<1%

Wesley Hunt
<1%
Ken Paxton 66%
John Cornyn 33%
Beth Van Duyne <1%
Dawn Buckingham <1%
$14,940,035 Vol.
$14,940,035 Vol.

Ken Paxton
66%

John Cornyn
33%

Beth Van Duyne
<1%

Dawn Buckingham
<1%

Wesley Hunt
<1%
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton at 65.5% to win the Republican Senate primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn on May 26, reflecting recent polls showing Paxton leading by 5–16 points among likely voters, including a March 19–23 GQR survey (47%–42%) and earlier Impact Research (53%–37%). In the March 3 primary, Cornyn edged Paxton 42%–41% to force the runoff, with Rep. Wesley Hunt third at 14% and others negligible. Paxton's higher favorability among Texas Republicans, CPAC endorsement last week amid boos for Cornyn, and President Trump's pending decision amid MAGA pushback have widened his edge over the establishment incumbent, despite Cornyn's fundraising and some GOP backing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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