South Carolina's solidly Republican electorate underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in the November 2026 Senate contest, consistent with historical voting patterns and recent statewide results. The death of four-term incumbent Lindsey Graham shortly after his June primary victory triggered a special August primary and runoff to select his replacement on the ballot, with appointee Darline Graham advancing alongside Rep. Ralph Norman. Democrat Annie Andrews secured her party's nomination but faces structural challenges in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate races for decades. Limited polling and the absence of major late shifts in voter registration or turnout indicators have kept Democratic implied probability low. The August 25 Republican runoff and any subsequent candidate positioning ahead of Election Day represent the primary near-term catalysts that could influence market adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$144,326 Vol.
$144,326 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
89%
Democrata
12%
$144,326 Vol.
$144,326 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$61,885 Vol.
89%
Democrata
$82,441 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's solidly Republican electorate underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in the November 2026 Senate contest, consistent with historical voting patterns and recent statewide results. The death of four-term incumbent Lindsey Graham shortly after his June primary victory triggered a special August primary and runoff to select his replacement on the ballot, with appointee Darline Graham advancing alongside Rep. Ralph Norman. Democrat Annie Andrews secured her party's nomination but faces structural challenges in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate races for decades. Limited polling and the absence of major late shifts in voter registration or turnout indicators have kept Democratic implied probability low. The August 25 Republican runoff and any subsequent candidate positioning ahead of Election Day represent the primary near-term catalysts that could influence market adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$144,326Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's solidly Republican electorate underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in the November 2026 Senate contest, consistent with historical voting patterns and recent statewide results. The death of four-term incumbent Lindsey Graham shortly after his June primary victory triggered a special August primary and runoff to select his replacement on the ballot, with appointee Darline Graham advancing alongside Rep. Ralph Norman. Democrat Annie Andrews secured her party's nomination but faces structural challenges in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate races for decades. Limited polling and the absence of major late shifts in voter registration or turnout indicators have kept Democratic implied probability low. The August 25 Republican runoff and any subsequent candidate positioning ahead of Election Day represent the primary near-term catalysts that could influence market adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$144,326Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's solidly Republican electorate underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in the November 2026 Senate contest, consistent with historical voting patterns and recent statewide results. The death of four-term incumbent Lindsey Graham shortly after his June primary victory triggered a special August primary and runoff to select his replacement on the ballot, with appointee Darline Graham advancing alongside Rep. Ralph Norman. Democrat Annie Andrews secured her party's nomination but faces structural challenges in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate races for decades. Limited polling and the absence of major late shifts in voter registration or turnout indicators have kept Democratic implied probability low. The August 25 Republican runoff and any subsequent candidate positioning ahead of Election Day represent the primary near-term catalysts that could influence market adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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