Rep. Ronny Jackson secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 13th congressional district with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote on March 3, 2026, after the seat was redrawn in 2025 to maintain its strongly conservative character. Rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by more than 20 points, the district has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. Jackson, a former White House physician, faces Democrat Mark Nair in the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 91.5 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the district's partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national shift could still narrow the outcome before ballots are cast.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-13
$11,276 Vol.
$11,276 Vol.
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Democrata
7%
$11,276 Vol.
$11,276 Vol.
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Democrata
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Ronny Jackson secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 13th congressional district with nearly 90 percent of the primary vote on March 3, 2026, after the seat was redrawn in 2025 to maintain its strongly conservative character. Rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by more than 20 points, the district has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. Jackson, a former White House physician, faces Democrat Mark Nair in the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 91.5 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the district's partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national shift could still narrow the outcome before ballots are cast.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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