Incumbent Civil Contract party leads trader consensus at 83% implied probability to secure the most seats in Armenia's National Assembly parliamentary elections on June 7, driven by recent polls showing it at around 24% support amid 30% undecided voters and fragmented opposition. Early March surveys from CivilNet and EVN Report highlight opposition alliances like Armenia Alliance and Bright Armenia polling in single digits, with new entrants such as Strong Armenia also struggling to consolidate. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's March 26 warning of potential war risks with Azerbaijan aims to rally national security concerns, bolstering incumbency advantages under proportional representation where a plurality often suffices for dominance. Campaign momentum and undecided shifts remain key ahead of the vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoContrato Civil 83%
Aliança Armênia 8%
Aliança Luminosa da Armênia 4.6%
Aliança Tenho Honra 1.7%
$90,388 Vol.
$90,388 Vol.

Contrato Civil
83%

Aliança Armênia
8%

Aliança Luminosa da Armênia
5%

Aliança Tenho Honra
2%

Congresso Nacional Armênio
<1%

Armênia Próspera
<1%

Partido Hanrapetutyun
<1%

Herança
<1%

Orinats Yerkir
<1%
Contrato Civil 83%
Aliança Armênia 8%
Aliança Luminosa da Armênia 4.6%
Aliança Tenho Honra 1.7%
$90,388 Vol.
$90,388 Vol.

Contrato Civil
83%

Aliança Armênia
8%

Aliança Luminosa da Armênia
5%

Aliança Tenho Honra
2%

Congresso Nacional Armênio
<1%

Armênia Próspera
<1%

Partido Hanrapetutyun
<1%

Herança
<1%

Orinats Yerkir
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Civil Contract party leads trader consensus at 83% implied probability to secure the most seats in Armenia's National Assembly parliamentary elections on June 7, driven by recent polls showing it at around 24% support amid 30% undecided voters and fragmented opposition. Early March surveys from CivilNet and EVN Report highlight opposition alliances like Armenia Alliance and Bright Armenia polling in single digits, with new entrants such as Strong Armenia also struggling to consolidate. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan's March 26 warning of potential war risks with Azerbaijan aims to rally national security concerns, bolstering incumbency advantages under proportional representation where a plurality often suffices for dominance. Campaign momentum and undecided shifts remain key ahead of the vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions