Market icon
Política·Coreia Do Sul

Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026

Market icon
Política·Coreia Do Sul

Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026

Chong Won-oh 82%

Oh Se-hoon 11%

Park Ju-min 5.1%

Park Hong-keun <1%

Polymarket

$11,072,867 Vol.

Chong Won-oh 82%

Oh Se-hoon 11%

Park Ju-min 5.1%

Park Hong-keun <1%

Polymarket

$11,072,867 Vol.

Market icon

Chong Won-oh

$341,607 Vol.

82%

Market icon

Oh Se-hoon

$576,275 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Park Ju-min

$432,847 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Park Hong-keun

$853,106 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Cho Eun-hee

$1,298,034 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Ahn Cheol-soo

$624,350 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Park Yong-jin

$1,295,558 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Hong Ihk-pyo

$925,190 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Cho Kuk

$794,035 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Na Kyung-won

$942,711 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Seo Young-kyo

$1,025,831 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Kang Hoon-sik

$453,560 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Han Dong-hoon

$759,946 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Jeon Hyun-heui

$753,351 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Recent polls released April 1 show Democratic Party frontrunner Chong Won-oh leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Oh Se-hoon 42.6% to 28% in a hypothetical Seoul mayoral matchup ahead of the June 3, 2026 local elections, bolstering trader consensus at 82% implied probability for his victory. Fellow DP primary contender Park Ju-min also polled strongly at 39.6% against Oh's 28.2%, securing his distant second in markets at 5.3%. Chong weathered attacks over alleged Deutsch Motors ties during the DP primary debate last week, maintaining his edge as the party narrows candidates. Oh trails at 11% amid PPP concerns over tightening races in key battlegrounds like Seoul. DP nomination remains pending, with potential shifts from primaries or scandals.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Volume
$11,072,867
Data de Término
3 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Recent polls released April 1 show Democratic Party frontrunner Chong Won-oh leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Oh Se-hoon 42.6% to 28% in a hypothetical Seoul mayoral matchup ahead of the June 3, 2026 local elections, bolstering trader consensus at 82% implied probability for his victory. Fellow DP primary contender Park Ju-min also polled strongly at 39.6% against Oh's 28.2%, securing his distant second in markets at 5.3%. Chong weathered attacks over alleged Deutsch Motors ties during the DP primary debate last week, maintaining his edge as the party narrows candidates. Oh trails at 11% amid PPP concerns over tightening races in key battlegrounds like Seoul. DP nomination remains pending, with potential shifts from primaries or scandals.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Volume
$11,072,867
Data de Término
3 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chong Won-oh" at 82%, followed by "Oh Se-hoon" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026" has generated $11.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026" is "Chong Won-oh" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Oh Se-hoon" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para prefeito de Seul em 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.