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Eleições·Senado

Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?

icon for Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?
Eleições·Senado

Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?

Chuck Schumer 22%

John Thune 20%

Tom Cotton 10.1%

Brian Schatz 9%

Polymarket

$72,262 Vol.

Chuck Schumer 22%

John Thune 20%

Tom Cotton 10.1%

Brian Schatz 9%

Polymarket

$72,262 Vol.

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$7,939 Vol.

22%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$3,492 Vol.

20%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$5,696 Vol.

10%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$2,500 Vol.

9%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$4,568 Vol.

4%

icon for Lindsey Graham

Lindsey Graham

$11,651 Vol.

4%

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$23,094 Vol.

3%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$4,334 Vol.

3%

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$3,370 Vol.

3%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$2,083 Vol.

3%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$3,533 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Uncertainty over Senate control following the November 2026 elections keeps trader consensus tight between Chuck Schumer at 22% and John Thune at 20%. Republicans currently hold a 53-45 majority under Thune, who succeeded Mitch McConnell in late 2024, while Schumer leads Democrats. Multiple competitive battlegrounds, including Georgia, Michigan, and North Carolina, create balanced paths for either party to reach the 51 seats needed for majority status. Tom Cotton at 10% and Brian Schatz at 9% reflect secondary options tied to internal caucus dynamics. The election results and subsequent leadership votes will drive resolution, with no recent development yet producing clear separation among contenders.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$72,262
Data de Término
3 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Uncertainty over Senate control following the November 2026 elections keeps trader consensus tight between Chuck Schumer at 22% and John Thune at 20%. Republicans currently hold a 53-45 majority under Thune, who succeeded Mitch McConnell in late 2024, while Schumer leads Democrats. Multiple competitive battlegrounds, including Georgia, Michigan, and North Carolina, create balanced paths for either party to reach the 51 seats needed for majority status. Tom Cotton at 10% and Brian Schatz at 9% reflect secondary options tied to internal caucus dynamics. The election results and subsequent leadership votes will drive resolution, with no recent development yet producing clear separation among contenders.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$72,262
Data de Término
3 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chuck Schumer" at 22%, followed by "John Thune" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?" has generated $72.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?" is "Chuck Schumer" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Thune" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.