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Eleições·Gronelândia

O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?

Market icon
Eleições·Gronelândia

O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?

Mette Frederiksen 88%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen 5.5%

Troels Lund Poulsen 2.2%

Alex Vanopslagh <1%

Polymarket

$5,396,682 Vol.

Mette Frederiksen 88%

Lars Løkke Rasmussen 5.5%

Troels Lund Poulsen 2.2%

Alex Vanopslagh <1%

Polymarket

$5,396,682 Vol.

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Mette Frederiksen

$1,087,154 Vol.

88%

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Lars Løkke Rasmussen

$1,916,527 Vol.

5%

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Troels Lund Poulsen

$1,110,812 Vol.

2%

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Alex Vanopslagh

$635,403 Vol.

<1%

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Mona Juul

$101,038 Vol.

<1%

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Lars Boje Mathiesen

$91,904 Vol.

<1%

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Inger Støjberg

$41,194 Vol.

<1%

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Martin Lidegaard

$48,786 Vol.

<1%

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Morten Messerschmidt

$176,795 Vol.

<1%

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Pelle Dragsted

$65,077 Vol.

<1%

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Pia Olsen Dyhr

$121,991 Vol.

<1%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats topped the March 24, 2026 snap general election in Denmark's Folketing with 38 seats—their weakest result ever—but her center-left red bloc secured a narrow 84-seat plurality ahead of the center-right blue bloc's 77 seats in the 179-seat parliament. Frederiksen formally resigned her coalition government to the king on March 25, as required post-election, and was tasked first with exploratory talks to form a new majority amid proportional representation fragmentation. Traders price her at 88% implied probability due to incumbency, dealmaking precedent, and red bloc edge, while former Prime Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen's centrist Moderates (14 seats) emerge as kingmakers, elevating his 5.5% odds; Liberals leader Troels Lund Poulsen trails at 2.1% after ruling out another Frederiksen coalition. Ongoing negotiations could tip the balance before resolution.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,396,682
Data de Término
24 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen's Social Democrats topped the March 24, 2026 snap general election in Denmark's Folketing with 38 seats—their weakest result ever—but her center-left red bloc secured a narrow 84-seat plurality ahead of the center-right blue bloc's 77 seats in the 179-seat parliament. Frederiksen formally resigned her coalition government to the king on March 25, as required post-election, and was tasked first with exploratory talks to form a new majority amid proportional representation fragmentation. Traders price her at 88% implied probability due to incumbency, dealmaking precedent, and red bloc edge, while former Prime Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen's centrist Moderates (14 seats) emerge as kingmakers, elevating his 5.5% odds; Liberals leader Troels Lund Poulsen trails at 2.1% after ruling out another Frederiksen coalition. Ongoing negotiations could tip the balance before resolution.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,396,682
Data de Término
24 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mette Frederiksen" at 88%, followed by "Lars Løkke Rasmussen" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?" has generated $5.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?" is "Mette Frederiksen" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lars Løkke Rasmussen" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O próximo primeiro-ministro da Dinamarca?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.