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Eleições·Eleições Globais

Próximo Presidente do Vietname

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Eleições·Eleições Globais

Próximo Presidente do Vietname

Tô Lâm 95%

Phan Văn Giang 3.4%

Trần Thanh Mẫn 2.4%

Trần Cẩm Tú <1%

Polymarket

$29,595,405 Vol.

Tô Lâm 95%

Phan Văn Giang 3.4%

Trần Thanh Mẫn 2.4%

Trần Cẩm Tú <1%

Polymarket

$29,595,405 Vol.

Market icon

Tô Lâm

$3,733,564 Vol.

95%

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Phan Văn Giang

$2,378,296 Vol.

3%

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Trần Thanh Mẫn

$2,447,619 Vol.

2%

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Trần Cẩm Tú

$2,215,865 Vol.

<1%

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Lương Cường

$2,515,058 Vol.

<1%

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Nguyễn Duy Ngọc

$774,757 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Phạm Minh Chính

$15,530,245 Vol.

<1%

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tô Lâm's 94.5% implied probability as next President of Vietnam stems from his unchallenged role as Communist Party General Secretary, unanimously re-elected in January 2026 at the 14th National Congress, positioning him to consolidate power by assuming the state presidency for the 2026-2031 term. The March 2026 National Assembly elections delivered a 97% Communist Party supermajority, paving the way for the new legislature's first session—imminent as of early April—to formally elect leaders, with party insiders and state media signaling Tô Lâm's nomination amid Vietnam's tradition of aligning top party and state posts. Minor contenders like Defense Minister Phan Văn Giang trail due to lacking Politburo primacy. Realistic challenges include unforeseen health issues, factional dissent, or procedural delays, though one-party dynamics render shifts improbable.

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.

If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,595,405
Data de Término
25 jan 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tô Lâm's 94.5% implied probability as next President of Vietnam stems from his unchallenged role as Communist Party General Secretary, unanimously re-elected in January 2026 at the 14th National Congress, positioning him to consolidate power by assuming the state presidency for the 2026-2031 term. The March 2026 National Assembly elections delivered a 97% Communist Party supermajority, paving the way for the new legislature's first session—imminent as of early April—to formally elect leaders, with party insiders and state media signaling Tô Lâm's nomination amid Vietnam's tradition of aligning top party and state posts. Minor contenders like Defense Minister Phan Văn Giang trail due to lacking Politburo primacy. Realistic challenges include unforeseen health issues, factional dissent, or procedural delays, though one-party dynamics render shifts improbable.

Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.

If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,595,405
Data de Término
25 jan 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 21, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President. This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual. If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Presidente do Vietname" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tô Lâm" at 95%, followed by "Phan Văn Giang" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Presidente do Vietname" has generated $29.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Presidente do Vietname," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Presidente do Vietname" is "Tô Lâm" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Phan Văn Giang" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Presidente do Vietname" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.