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Terrebone By-Election Winner

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Terrebone By-Election Winner

Tatiana Auguste 62%

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné 38%

Benjamin Rankin 1.1%

Maria Cantore <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Tatiana Auguste 62%

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné 38%

Benjamin Rankin 1.1%

Maria Cantore <1%

Polymarket
NEW
Market icon

Tatiana Auguste

$1,166 Vol.

62%

Market icon

Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné

$1,014 Vol.

38%

Market icon

Benjamin Rankin

$425 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Maria Cantore

$429 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Maxime Beaudoin

$514 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Adrienne Charles

$426 Vol.

1%

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volume
$3,954
Data de Término
Apr 13, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).A by-election for the seat of Terrebonne, Quebec in the House of Commons of Canada will be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Terrebonne, Quebec seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Recent Abacus Data polling gives Liberal Tatiana Auguste a 42-37 lead over Conservative Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné in the Terrebonne federal by-election, anchoring trader consensus at 61.5% for Auguste and 37.5% for Sinclair-Desgagné ahead of the November 25 vote in this battleground Quebec riding. The contest, triggered by Liberal MP Geneviève Rochon's resignation, favors Auguste via party resources and incumbency in a seat she helped flip from Bloc Québécois control in 2021. Sinclair-Desgagné, a former Bloc MP now with Conservatives, draws support from national Tory gains and local familiarity amid voter frustration with Liberals. Negligible odds for NDP's Maria Cantore and others reflect their weak polling. Final debates could sway undecideds.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Terrebone By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tatiana Auguste" at 62%, followed by "Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Terrebone By-Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Terrebone By-Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Terrebone By-Election Winner" is "Tatiana Auguste" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Terrebone By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.