President Trump's continued active governance, including signing an executive order on March 31 to create a national voter eligibility list, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus implying he will remain in office through June 30. Despite Democratic impeachment resolutions over recent Iran airstrikes and partisan predictions from figures like California Gov. Gavin Newsom forecasting a post-midterm reckoning if Republicans lose House control in November, no Senate proceedings have advanced amid GOP majorities blocking removal. Cabinet changes, such as firing Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem and Attorney General Pam Bondi, signal internal adjustments but not presidential instability, with historical precedent showing low removal odds absent supermajorities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$1,975,938 Vol.
$1,975,938 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$1,975,938 Vol.
$1,975,938 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's continued active governance, including signing an executive order on March 31 to create a national voter eligibility list, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus implying he will remain in office through June 30. Despite Democratic impeachment resolutions over recent Iran airstrikes and partisan predictions from figures like California Gov. Gavin Newsom forecasting a post-midterm reckoning if Republicans lose House control in November, no Senate proceedings have advanced amid GOP majorities blocking removal. Cabinet changes, such as firing Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem and Attorney General Pam Bondi, signal internal adjustments but not presidential instability, with historical precedent showing low removal odds absent supermajorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Volume
$1,975,938Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's continued active governance, including signing an executive order on March 31 to create a national voter eligibility list, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus implying he will remain in office through June 30. Despite Democratic impeachment resolutions over recent Iran airstrikes and partisan predictions from figures like California Gov. Gavin Newsom forecasting a post-midterm reckoning if Republicans lose House control in November, no Senate proceedings have advanced amid GOP majorities blocking removal. Cabinet changes, such as firing Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem and Attorney General Pam Bondi, signal internal adjustments but not presidential instability, with historical precedent showing low removal odds absent supermajorities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,976,038Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's continued active governance, including signing an executive order on March 31 to create a national voter eligibility list, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus implying he will remain in office through June 30. Despite Democratic impeachment resolutions over recent Iran airstrikes and partisan predictions from figures like California Gov. Gavin Newsom forecasting a post-midterm reckoning if Republicans lose House control in November, no Senate proceedings have advanced amid GOP majorities blocking removal. Cabinet changes, such as firing Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem and Attorney General Pam Bondi, signal internal adjustments but not presidential instability, with historical precedent showing low removal odds absent supermajorities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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