Market icon
Política·Menções

Who will Trump name in April?

Market icon
Política·Menções

Who will Trump name in April?

NOVO
30 abr 2026
Polymarket

$280 Vol.

Polymarket

Netanyahu

$99 Vol.

96%

Newsom / Newscum

$21 Vol.

75%

Delcy

$14 Vol.

70%

Kamala

$1 Vol.

73%

Ilhan / Omar

$1 Vol.

65%

Caine

$5 Vol.

68%

Kushner

$1 Vol.

73%

Warsh

$3 Vol.

70%

Oz

$0 Vol.

66%

Maduro

$2 Vol.

65%

Zohran / Mamdani

$8 Vol.

64%

Homan

$60 Vol.

70%

Emmanuel / Macron

$0 Vol.

61%

Schumer

$0 Vol.

54%

Massie

$0 Vol.

53%

Rand Paul

$0 Vol.

53%

Warren / Pocahontas

$36 Vol.

65%

Gianni / Infantino

$28 Vol.

65%

Bush

$0 Vol.

48%

Khamenei / Khomeini

$0 Vol.

48%

Viktor / Orbán

$0 Vol.

48%

Machado

$0 Vol.

46%

Bernie

$0 Vol.

45%

Paxton

$0 Vol.

44%

Leavitt

$0 Vol.

44%

Hillary

$0 Vol.

43%

Talarico

$0 Vol.

42%

Kavanaugh

$0 Vol.

42%

Jensen / Huang

$0 Vol.

42%

Zuckerberg

$0 Vol.

36%

Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

32%

Nicki / Minaj

$0 Vol.

28%

Keir / Starmer

$1 Vol.

53%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as the name Donald Trump will verbally mention first or most prominently in public recordings during April 2026, with implied probabilities around 76-88%, reflecting escalating Middle East tensions including Iran's recent strike on Haifa refinery and Trump's threats against Iranian desalination plants and leadership amid Day 31 of reported conflict operations. Other leaders like Karoline Leavitt (frequent White House press briefings) and Kevin Warsh (recently nominated Federal Reserve Chair) trail closely due to ongoing domestic policy spotlights, while rivals such as Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris draw bets on partisan rhetoric. Low trading volume signals early speculation ahead of Easter events on April 1 and potential diplomatic announcements, with verbal mentions in speeches or addresses determining resolution by April 30.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$280
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as the name Donald Trump will verbally mention first or most prominently in public recordings during April 2026, with implied probabilities around 76-88%, reflecting escalating Middle East tensions including Iran's recent strike on Haifa refinery and Trump's threats against Iranian desalination plants and leadership amid Day 31 of reported conflict operations. Other leaders like Karoline Leavitt (frequent White House press briefings) and Kevin Warsh (recently nominated Federal Reserve Chair) trail closely due to ongoing domestic policy spotlights, while rivals such as Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris draw bets on partisan rhetoric. Low trading volume signals early speculation ahead of Easter events on April 1 and potential diplomatic announcements, with verbal mentions in speeches or addresses determining resolution by April 30.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$280
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump name in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Netanyahu" at 96%, followed by "Newsom / Newscum" at 75%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will Trump name in April?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will Trump name in April?," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump name in April?" is "Netanyahu" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Newsom / Newscum" at 75%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump name in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.