President Trump remains in office past the March 31, 2026, deadline, cementing trader consensus at 100% "No" on the market as no resignation, impeachment conviction, death, or 25th Amendment invocation occurred. Recent U.S. military strikes on Iran in March prompted Democratic calls—including from Rep. Maxine Waters and Gov. J.B. Pritzker—for cabinet action under the 25th Amendment over fitness concerns, alongside stalled House impeachment resolutions, but Republican congressional majorities and VP Vance's support blocked progress. Historical precedents underscore rarity of mid-term removals, with traders pricing in structural hurdles like Senate supermajority conviction thresholds. Post-deadline challenges could arise from resolution disputes, though unlikely given confirmed continuity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$13,448,710 Vol.
$13,448,710 Vol.
31 mar 2026
Sim
$13,448,710 Vol.
$13,448,710 Vol.
31 mar 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump remains in office past the March 31, 2026, deadline, cementing trader consensus at 100% "No" on the market as no resignation, impeachment conviction, death, or 25th Amendment invocation occurred. Recent U.S. military strikes on Iran in March prompted Democratic calls—including from Rep. Maxine Waters and Gov. J.B. Pritzker—for cabinet action under the 25th Amendment over fitness concerns, alongside stalled House impeachment resolutions, but Republican congressional majorities and VP Vance's support blocked progress. Historical precedents underscore rarity of mid-term removals, with traders pricing in structural hurdles like Senate supermajority conviction thresholds. Post-deadline challenges could arise from resolution disputes, though unlikely given confirmed continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ET
Volume
$13,448,710Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump remains in office past the March 31, 2026, deadline, cementing trader consensus at 100% "No" on the market as no resignation, impeachment conviction, death, or 25th Amendment invocation occurred. Recent U.S. military strikes on Iran in March prompted Democratic calls—including from Rep. Maxine Waters and Gov. J.B. Pritzker—for cabinet action under the 25th Amendment over fitness concerns, alongside stalled House impeachment resolutions, but Republican congressional majorities and VP Vance's support blocked progress. Historical precedents underscore rarity of mid-term removals, with traders pricing in structural hurdles like Senate supermajority conviction thresholds. Post-deadline challenges could arise from resolution disputes, though unlikely given confirmed continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$13,448,710Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
President Trump remains in office past the March 31, 2026, deadline, cementing trader consensus at 100% "No" on the market as no resignation, impeachment conviction, death, or 25th Amendment invocation occurred. Recent U.S. military strikes on Iran in March prompted Democratic calls—including from Rep. Maxine Waters and Gov. J.B. Pritzker—for cabinet action under the 25th Amendment over fitness concerns, alongside stalled House impeachment resolutions, but Republican congressional majorities and VP Vance's support blocked progress. Historical precedents underscore rarity of mid-term removals, with traders pricing in structural hurdles like Senate supermajority conviction thresholds. Post-deadline challenges could arise from resolution disputes, though unlikely given confirmed continuity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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