Trump's ongoing active leadership, exemplified by his April 1 national address announcing military successes against Iran—including pilot rescues and a 48-hour ultimatum to open the Strait of Hormuz—bolsters trader consensus at 84.5% "No," reflecting low odds of removal or resignation before 2027. Republican majorities in Congress block viable impeachment paths, as seen in stalled House resolutions like H.Res.939 despite Democratic pushes. Debunked health rumors from social media, confirmed by White House statements of normal Oval Office operations, have not shifted sentiment. With 2026 midterms looming as the next potential catalyst, no confirmed scandals, 25th Amendment invocations, or official withdrawal signals support the wisdom-of-crowds pricing favoring continuity through his term's early years.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$6,093,905 Vol.
$6,093,905 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$6,093,905 Vol.
$6,093,905 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's ongoing active leadership, exemplified by his April 1 national address announcing military successes against Iran—including pilot rescues and a 48-hour ultimatum to open the Strait of Hormuz—bolsters trader consensus at 84.5% "No," reflecting low odds of removal or resignation before 2027. Republican majorities in Congress block viable impeachment paths, as seen in stalled House resolutions like H.Res.939 despite Democratic pushes. Debunked health rumors from social media, confirmed by White House statements of normal Oval Office operations, have not shifted sentiment. With 2026 midterms looming as the next potential catalyst, no confirmed scandals, 25th Amendment invocations, or official withdrawal signals support the wisdom-of-crowds pricing favoring continuity through his term's early years.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$6,093,905Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's ongoing active leadership, exemplified by his April 1 national address announcing military successes against Iran—including pilot rescues and a 48-hour ultimatum to open the Strait of Hormuz—bolsters trader consensus at 84.5% "No," reflecting low odds of removal or resignation before 2027. Republican majorities in Congress block viable impeachment paths, as seen in stalled House resolutions like H.Res.939 despite Democratic pushes. Debunked health rumors from social media, confirmed by White House statements of normal Oval Office operations, have not shifted sentiment. With 2026 midterms looming as the next potential catalyst, no confirmed scandals, 25th Amendment invocations, or official withdrawal signals support the wisdom-of-crowds pricing favoring continuity through his term's early years.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,093,925Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's ongoing active leadership, exemplified by his April 1 national address announcing military successes against Iran—including pilot rescues and a 48-hour ultimatum to open the Strait of Hormuz—bolsters trader consensus at 84.5% "No," reflecting low odds of removal or resignation before 2027. Republican majorities in Congress block viable impeachment paths, as seen in stalled House resolutions like H.Res.939 despite Democratic pushes. Debunked health rumors from social media, confirmed by White House statements of normal Oval Office operations, have not shifted sentiment. With 2026 midterms looming as the next potential catalyst, no confirmed scandals, 25th Amendment invocations, or official withdrawal signals support the wisdom-of-crowds pricing favoring continuity through his term's early years.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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