President Trump’s second term, which began in January 2025, continues without any active constitutional removal process gaining traction. Republican congressional majorities have blocked advancement of the impeachment resolution introduced in the House, while calls to invoke the 25th Amendment following April 2026 foreign-policy developments produced no Cabinet or legislative support. The president maintains a full schedule of executive orders, nominations, and public appearances, with no reported health events or statements indicating resignation. Traders therefore assign the “No” outcome a 90.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the structural barriers to early departure and the absence of near-term catalysts that could alter that assessment before 2027.