Market icon
Política·Páscoa

Trump vai dançar durante o almoço de Páscoa no dia 1º de abril?

Market icon
Política·Páscoa

Trump vai dançar durante o almoço de Páscoa no dia 1º de abril?

Sim

15% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

15% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed yesterday that President Trump will host a formal Easter lunch in the East Room tomorrow with over 100 faith leaders nationwide to mark Holy Week, emphasizing prayer and the Christian celebration of Jesus Christ's resurrection. Despite Trump's signature dance moves at recent political events, including the NRCC dinner last week and speeches earlier this month, traders price "No" at 84.5% implied probability, viewing the reverent context of this White House gathering—consistent with prior Holy Week prayer services—as highly unlikely to feature such performance. No official hints or agenda items suggest dancing, with the Easter Egg Roll family event set for April 6.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
Volume
$810
Data de Término
1 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed yesterday that President Trump will host a formal Easter lunch in the East Room tomorrow with over 100 faith leaders nationwide to mark Holy Week, emphasizing prayer and the Christian celebration of Jesus Christ's resurrection. Despite Trump's signature dance moves at recent political events, including the NRCC dinner last week and speeches earlier this month, traders price "No" at 84.5% implied probability, viewing the reverent context of this White House gathering—consistent with prior Holy Week prayer services—as highly unlikely to feature such performance. No official hints or agenda items suggest dancing, with the Easter Egg Roll family event set for April 6.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
Volume
$810
Data de Término
1 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump vai dançar durante o almoço de Páscoa no dia 1º de abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump vai dançar durante o almoço de Páscoa em 1º de abril?" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump vai dançar durante o almoço de Páscoa no dia 1º de abril?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump vai dançar durante o almoço de Páscoa no dia 1º de abril?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump vai dançar durante o almoço de Páscoa no dia 1º de abril?" is "Trump vai dançar durante o almoço de Páscoa em 1º de abril?" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump vai dançar durante o almoço de Páscoa no dia 1º de abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.