Market icon
Política·Mercados De Tweets

O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 3 a 10 de abril de 2026?

Market icon
Política·Mercados De Tweets

O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 3 a 10 de abril de 2026?

abr 3

abr 7

abr 10

abr 3

abr 7

abr 10

20-39 53%

200+ 43%

40-59 23%

80-99 20%

Polymarket
NOVO

20-39 53%

200+ 43%

40-59 23%

80-99 20%

Polymarket
NOVO

<20

$3 Vol.

17%

20-39

$52 Vol.

60%

40-59

$1 Vol.

23%

60-79

$16 Vol.

11%

80-99

$6 Vol.

20%

100-119

$16 Vol.

1%

120-139

$26 Vol.

1%

140-159

$45 Vol.

2%

160-179

$44 Vol.

2%

180-199

$133 Vol.

1%

200+

$120 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani's steady X posting cadence from the official @NYCMayor account—averaging 3-5 original posts daily on policy announcements, infrastructure upgrades, and public engagement—drives trader consensus toward the 20-39 range at 60% implied probability for April 3-10. Recent activity, including March 31 launches of a universal childcare parent survey and $108 million flood prevention investments, alongside Trans Day of Visibility messaging and ongoing "Municipal Madness" bracket voting on city repairs, mirrors this pace with 6 posts that day and 2 on March 30. Absent scheduled events like major announcements or crises to spike volume, markets price in historical norms over the prior month, with 40-59 viable for busier periods but 200+ reflecting outlier scenarios.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$463
Data de Término
10 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/NYCMayor

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani's steady X posting cadence from the official @NYCMayor account—averaging 3-5 original posts daily on policy announcements, infrastructure upgrades, and public engagement—drives trader consensus toward the 20-39 range at 60% implied probability for April 3-10. Recent activity, including March 31 launches of a universal childcare parent survey and $108 million flood prevention investments, alongside Trans Day of Visibility messaging and ongoing "Municipal Madness" bracket voting on city repairs, mirrors this pace with 6 posts that day and 2 on March 30. Absent scheduled events like major announcements or crises to spike volume, markets price in historical norms over the prior month, with 40-59 viable for busier periods but 200+ reflecting outlier scenarios.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$463
Data de Término
10 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/NYCMayor

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 3 a 10 de abril de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 60%, followed by "40-59" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 3 a 10 de abril de 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 3 a 10 de abril de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 3 a 10 de abril de 2026?" is "20-39" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-59" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O prefeito de Nova York # publica de 3 a 10 de abril de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.