Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 36% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 30 to April 1, 2026, reflecting his steady rhythm of 25-35 daily posts established in recent periods like the March 26-28 window, which resolved at 76 amid viral political firestorms on voter ID mandates, uniparty critiques, and Tesla's Model Y claiming its third straight year as the world's top-selling car. Momentum from today's mid-afternoon activity—over 10 posts on FSD breakthroughs in Germany, Grok speedups, and regulatory jabs—reinforces the 65-89 and 90-114 ranges (24.5%), while 40-64 (22.5%) hedges for potential weekend lulls tied to DOGE duties. With the period starting Monday, watch for SpaceX announcements or breaking cultural debates to sway volumes, underscoring the unpredictable nature of Musk's high-engagement social media presence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado65-89 37%
90-114 25%
40-64 23%
115-139 11%
NEW
$11,947 Vol.
NEW
$11,947 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
<40
3%
40-64
23%
65-89
37%
90-114
25%
115-139
11%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
1%
240+
<1%
65-89 37%
90-114 25%
40-64 23%
115-139 11%
NEW
$11,947 Vol.
NEW
$11,947 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
<40
$1,242 Vol.
3%
40-64
$582 Vol.
23%
65-89
$664 Vol.
37%
90-114
$427 Vol.
25%
115-139
$676 Vol.
11%
140-164
$936 Vol.
3%
165-189
$1,008 Vol.
1%
190-214
$1,855 Vol.
1%
215-239
$1,464 Vol.
1%
240+
$3,294 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 36% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 30 to April 1, 2026, reflecting his steady rhythm of 25-35 daily posts established in recent periods like the March 26-28 window, which resolved at 76 amid viral political firestorms on voter ID mandates, uniparty critiques, and Tesla's Model Y claiming its third straight year as the world's top-selling car. Momentum from today's mid-afternoon activity—over 10 posts on FSD breakthroughs in Germany, Grok speedups, and regulatory jabs—reinforces the 65-89 and 90-114 ranges (24.5%), while 40-64 (22.5%) hedges for potential weekend lulls tied to DOGE duties. With the period starting Monday, watch for SpaceX announcements or breaking cultural debates to sway volumes, underscoring the unpredictable nature of Musk's high-engagement social media presence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$11,947Data de Término
Apr 1, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 36% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 30 to April 1, 2026, reflecting his steady rhythm of 25-35 daily posts established in recent periods like the March 26-28 window, which resolved at 76 amid viral political firestorms on voter ID mandates, uniparty critiques, and Tesla's Model Y claiming its third straight year as the world's top-selling car. Momentum from today's mid-afternoon activity—over 10 posts on FSD breakthroughs in Germany, Grok speedups, and regulatory jabs—reinforces the 65-89 and 90-114 ranges (24.5%), while 40-64 (22.5%) hedges for potential weekend lulls tied to DOGE duties. With the period starting Monday, watch for SpaceX announcements or breaking cultural debates to sway volumes, underscoring the unpredictable nature of Musk's high-engagement social media presence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$11,947Data de Término
Apr 1, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 36% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from March 30 to April 1, 2026, reflecting his steady rhythm of 25-35 daily posts established in recent periods like the March 26-28 window, which resolved at 76 amid viral political firestorms on voter ID mandates, uniparty critiques, and Tesla's Model Y claiming its third straight year as the world's top-selling car. Momentum from today's mid-afternoon activity—over 10 posts on FSD breakthroughs in Germany, Grok speedups, and regulatory jabs—reinforces the 65-89 and 90-114 ranges (24.5%), while 40-64 (22.5%) hedges for potential weekend lulls tied to DOGE duties. With the period starting Monday, watch for SpaceX announcements or breaking cultural debates to sway volumes, underscoring the unpredictable nature of Musk's high-engagement social media presence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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