Trader consensus favors 70-80 million week-one YouTube views for MrBeast's next video at 33.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 60-70 million (26%), reflecting caution around his recent output amid YouTube algorithm tweaks and holiday viewer fragmentation. Historical benchmarks bolster optimism: his past five main-channel uploads averaged 78 million first-week views, peaking at 100 million-plus for high-stakes challenges like "Squid Game" recreations, while philanthropy epics hovered in the 60-80 million range. Key differentiators include the upcoming video's teased premise—extreme survival with massive cash prizes—its thumbnail potency, and cross-promo on TikTok/Instagram, pitted against competing viral stunts from creators like Logan Paul; resolution hinges on SocialBlade metrics seven days post-upload.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
70-80M 34%
60-70M 26%
80-90M 19%
90M+ 16%
$40,471 Vol.
$40,471 Vol.
<40M
1%
40-50M
2%
50-60M
7%
60-70M
26%
70-80M
34%
80-90M
19%
90M+
16%
70-80M 34%
60-70M 26%
80-90M 19%
90M+ 16%
$40,471 Vol.
$40,471 Vol.
<40M
1%
40-50M
2%
50-60M
7%
60-70M
26%
70-80M
34%
80-90M
19%
90M+
16%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 70-80 million week-one YouTube views for MrBeast's next video at 33.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 60-70 million (26%), reflecting caution around his recent output amid YouTube algorithm tweaks and holiday viewer fragmentation. Historical benchmarks bolster optimism: his past five main-channel uploads averaged 78 million first-week views, peaking at 100 million-plus for high-stakes challenges like "Squid Game" recreations, while philanthropy epics hovered in the 60-80 million range. Key differentiators include the upcoming video's teased premise—extreme survival with massive cash prizes—its thumbnail potency, and cross-promo on TikTok/Instagram, pitted against competing viral stunts from creators like Logan Paul; resolution hinges on SocialBlade metrics seven days post-upload.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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