Trader consensus strongly favors 30-35 million day-one YouTube views for MrBeast's next video at 74.5% implied probability, aligning with his recent track record amid steady subscriber growth past 310 million. His July 27 upload, "$1 vs $500,000 Plane Ticket!", hit 39 million day-one views, while the prior "Ages 1-100 Fight For $500,000" reached 47 million, but earlier summer entries dipped toward 30 million due to production shifts toward Beast Games on Prime Video. Hype from X teasers and cross-promotions with Feastables bolsters sentiment, though algorithmic tweaks and seasonal competition temper expectations for 40 million-plus outliers (under 2% combined). Resolution hinges on official SocialBlade or YouTube Analytics metrics post-upload.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado# de visualizações do próximo vídeo do MrBeast no dia 1?
# de visualizações do próximo vídeo do MrBeast no dia 1?
30–35M 75%
35–40M 16%
25–30M 10%
40–45M <1%
$795,756 Vol.
$795,756 Vol.
<20M
<1%
20–25M
1%
25–30M
10%
30–35M
75%
35–40M
16%
40–45M
1%
45–50M
<1%
50M+
<1%
30–35M 75%
35–40M 16%
25–30M 10%
40–45M <1%
$795,756 Vol.
$795,756 Vol.
<20M
<1%
20–25M
1%
25–30M
10%
30–35M
75%
35–40M
16%
40–45M
1%
45–50M
<1%
50M+
<1%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 16, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors 30-35 million day-one YouTube views for MrBeast's next video at 74.5% implied probability, aligning with his recent track record amid steady subscriber growth past 310 million. His July 27 upload, "$1 vs $500,000 Plane Ticket!", hit 39 million day-one views, while the prior "Ages 1-100 Fight For $500,000" reached 47 million, but earlier summer entries dipped toward 30 million due to production shifts toward Beast Games on Prime Video. Hype from X teasers and cross-promotions with Feastables bolsters sentiment, though algorithmic tweaks and seasonal competition temper expectations for 40 million-plus outliers (under 2% combined). Resolution hinges on official SocialBlade or YouTube Analytics metrics post-upload.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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